UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.262.82safe0.59–2.530.41–2.121.00–4.65safer0.34–2.780.18–2.340.52–5.13
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.794.469.25safe2.92–6.652.72–6.215.64–12.85safer2.43–7.142.26–6.674.69–13.81
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6512.3126.97safe10.73–18.588.75–15.8719.48–34.45safer9.64–19.677.79–16.8317.43–36.50
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.307.6016.91safe6.36–12.254.92–10.2811.28–22.53safer5.53–13.084.18–11.029.72–24.10
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.963.097.05safe2.08–5.841.43–4.743.51–10.58safer1.54–6.390.94–5.232.48–11.62
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.494.7010.20safe3.28–7.712.70–6.705.99–14.41safer2.71–8.282.17–7.244.88–15.52
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction53.9145.96safe47.12–60.7039.18–52.75safer45.45–62.3737.51–54.42
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction464376840safe397–531310–443707–974safer379–550292–460671–1010
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction77.6672.58safe73.63–81.6868.26–76.90safer72.33–82.9866.95–78.21
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0113.0823.09safe7.17–12.8510.13–16.0217.31–28.87safer6.42–13.619.38–16.7715.80–30.37
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.743.42safe0.51–2.830.65–2.841.16–5.67safer0.21–3.130.36–3.130.57–6.26
Yellow cards
35%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.903.58safe0.63–2.730.77–3.031.40–5.76safer0.36–2.990.48–3.320.84–6.31
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.286.27safe1.56–4.431.72–4.833.28–9.26safer1.17–4.821.30–5.262.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.34 | 2.82 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.13 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.79 2.92–6.65 2.43–7.14 | 4.46 2.72–6.21 2.26–6.67 | 9.25 5.64–12.85 4.69–13.81 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.65 10.73–18.58 9.64–19.67 | 12.31 8.75–15.87 7.79–16.83 | 26.97 19.48–34.45 17.43–36.50 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.30 6.36–12.25 5.53–13.08 | 7.60 4.92–10.28 4.18–11.02 | 16.91 11.28–22.53 9.72–24.10 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.08–5.84 1.54–6.39 | 3.09 1.43–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 7.05 3.51–10.58 2.48–11.62 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.49 3.28–7.71 2.71–8.28 | 4.70 2.70–6.70 2.17–7.24 | 10.20 5.99–14.41 4.88–15.52 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 53.91 47.12–60.70 45.45–62.37 | 45.96 39.18–52.75 37.51–54.42 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 464 397–531 379–550 | 376 310–443 292–460 | 840 707–974 671–1010 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.66 73.63–81.68 72.33–82.98 | 72.58 68.26–76.90 66.95–78.21 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 10.01 7.17–12.85 6.42–13.61 | 13.08 10.13–16.02 9.38–16.77 | 23.09 17.31–28.87 15.80–30.37 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.74 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.13 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.26 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–2.99 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.84–6.31 | 35% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 3.28 1.72–4.83 1.30–5.26 | 6.27 3.28–9.26 2.47–10.08 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.