UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction0.872.273.14safe0.00–1.841.41–3.121.31–4.96safer0.00–2.091.18–3.350.83–5.44
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.195.959.13safe1.33–5.054.20–7.695.53–12.74safer0.84–5.543.74–8.164.57–13.70
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6416.2126.84safe6.71–14.5612.64–19.7719.36–34.33safer5.62–15.6611.68–20.7317.31–36.38
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.9910.3016.30safe3.05–8.947.62–12.9810.67–21.92safer2.22–9.766.88–13.729.11–23.49
Blocked shots
20%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.574.226.79safe0.68–4.452.57–5.883.25–10.32safer0.14–4.992.08–6.372.22–11.36
Corners
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.665.909.56safe1.45–5.883.90–7.905.35–13.78safer0.88–6.453.37–8.434.24–14.88
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction41.8657.31safe35.07–48.6550.53–64.10safer33.40–50.3248.86–65.77
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction365547912safe298–432481–613778–1046safer280–450463–631743–1081
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction71.8779.13safe67.84–75.9074.80–83.45safer66.55–77.1973.49–84.76
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4113.3224.72safe8.57–14.2410.37–16.2618.94–30.50safer7.81–15.009.62–17.0117.44–32.01
Offsides
31%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.863.37safe0.34–2.660.77–2.961.11–5.62safer0.04–2.960.48–3.250.52–6.21
Yellow cards
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.543.42safe0.83–2.930.41–2.671.24–5.60safer0.56–3.190.12–2.960.69–6.16
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
68%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.932.276.20safe2.49–5.370.72–3.833.21–9.20safer2.11–5.750.29–4.252.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 2.27 1.41–3.12 1.18–3.35 | 3.14 1.31–4.96 0.83–5.44 | 18% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.19 1.33–5.05 0.84–5.54 | 5.95 4.20–7.69 3.74–8.16 | 9.13 5.53–12.74 4.57–13.70 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 10.64 6.71–14.56 5.62–15.66 | 16.21 12.64–19.77 11.68–20.73 | 26.84 19.36–34.33 17.31–36.38 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 5.99 3.05–8.94 2.22–9.76 | 10.30 7.62–12.98 6.88–13.72 | 16.30 10.67–21.92 9.11–23.49 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.57 0.68–4.45 0.14–4.99 | 4.22 2.57–5.88 2.08–6.37 | 6.79 3.25–10.32 2.22–11.36 | 20% 67% |
| Corners | 3.66 1.45–5.88 0.88–6.45 | 5.90 3.90–7.90 3.37–8.43 | 9.56 5.35–13.78 4.24–14.88 | 19% 71% |
| Possession % | 41.86 35.07–48.65 33.40–50.32 | 57.31 50.53–64.10 48.86–65.77 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 365 298–432 280–450 | 547 481–613 463–631 | 912 778–1046 743–1081 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.87 67.84–75.90 66.55–77.19 | 79.13 74.80–83.45 73.49–84.76 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.57–14.24 7.81–15.00 | 13.32 10.37–16.26 9.62–17.01 | 24.72 18.94–30.50 17.44–32.01 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.86 0.77–2.96 0.48–3.25 | 3.37 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.21 | 31% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.19 | 1.54 0.41–2.67 0.12–2.96 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.93 2.49–5.37 2.11–5.75 | 2.27 0.72–3.83 0.29–4.25 | 6.20 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 68% 13% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.