UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.242.53safe0.33–2.260.38–2.090.71–4.35safer0.08–2.510.15–2.320.23–4.83
Shots on target
47%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.504.248.74safe2.64–6.372.50–5.985.14–12.35safer2.15–6.862.03–6.454.18–13.31
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0411.5024.54safe9.12–16.977.93–15.0617.05–32.03safer8.03–18.066.97–16.0215.00–34.08
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction8.187.0915.27safe5.23–11.124.41–9.779.65–20.89safer4.40–11.953.67–10.518.08–22.46
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.857.05safe1.32–5.092.19–5.503.51–10.58safer0.78–5.631.70–5.992.48–11.62
Corners
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.179.24safe2.86–7.282.17–6.175.03–13.46safer2.28–7.861.64–6.713.92–14.56
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.3348.86safe44.54–58.1242.07–55.64safer42.87–59.7940.40–57.31
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction420441861safe353–487375–507727–995safer335–505357–525692–1030
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction74.8676.52safe70.83–78.8972.20–80.85safer69.54–80.1870.89–82.16
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3312.8525.17safe9.49–15.169.90–15.7919.39–30.96safer8.73–15.929.15–16.5417.89–32.46
Offsides
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.443.44safe0.84–3.160.35–2.541.19–5.69safer0.53–3.460.06–2.830.60–6.28
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.093.87safe0.73–2.830.97–3.221.70–6.05safer0.46–3.090.67–3.511.14–6.61
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
40%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.033.116.14safe1.59–4.461.55–4.673.14–9.13safer1.20–4.851.13–5.092.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.26 0.08–2.51 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.53 0.71–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.50 2.64–6.37 2.15–6.86 | 4.24 2.50–5.98 2.03–6.45 | 8.74 5.14–12.35 4.18–13.31 | 47% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.04 9.12–16.97 8.03–18.06 | 11.50 7.93–15.06 6.97–16.02 | 24.54 17.05–32.03 15.00–34.08 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.18 5.23–11.12 4.40–11.95 | 7.09 4.41–9.77 3.67–10.51 | 15.27 9.65–20.89 8.08–22.46 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.20 1.32–5.09 0.78–5.63 | 3.85 2.19–5.50 1.70–5.99 | 7.05 3.51–10.58 2.48–11.62 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.28 2.28–7.86 | 4.17 2.17–6.17 1.64–6.71 | 9.24 5.03–13.46 3.92–14.56 | 55% 32% |
| Possession % | 51.33 44.54–58.12 42.87–59.79 | 48.86 42.07–55.64 40.40–57.31 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 335–505 | 441 375–507 357–525 | 861 727–995 692–1030 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.86 70.83–78.89 69.54–80.18 | 76.52 72.20–80.85 70.89–82.16 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 12.33 9.49–15.16 8.73–15.92 | 12.85 9.90–15.79 9.15–16.54 | 25.17 19.39–30.96 17.89–32.46 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.53–3.46 | 1.44 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.83 | 3.44 1.19–5.69 0.60–6.28 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.09 | 2.09 0.97–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.87 1.70–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.03 1.59–4.46 1.20–4.85 | 3.11 1.55–4.67 1.13–5.09 | 6.14 3.14–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 40% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+