UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction0.852.233.08safe0.00–1.811.38–3.081.25–4.90safer0.00–2.071.15–3.310.77–5.38
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.135.788.92safe1.27–5.004.04–7.525.31–12.52safer0.78–5.493.57–7.994.36–13.48
Total shots
18%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4714.6225.09safe6.54–14.3911.05–18.1817.60–32.57safer5.45–15.4810.10–19.1415.55–34.62
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.0610.3516.41safe3.12–9.007.67–13.0310.79–22.04safer2.29–9.836.93–13.779.22–23.60
Blocked shots
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.773.736.50safe0.89–4.652.08–5.382.97–10.04safer0.35–5.201.58–5.881.93–11.07
Corners
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.825.389.20safe1.61–6.033.37–7.384.98–13.41safer1.03–6.612.84–7.913.87–14.52
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction47.0552.88safe40.26–53.8446.09–59.66safer38.59–55.5144.42–61.33
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction407472879safe340–474406–539745–1013safer321–492388–556710–1048
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction74.4677.62safe70.43–78.4973.30–81.95safer69.14–79.7971.99–83.26
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0612.7522.81safe7.22–12.909.81–15.7017.03–28.60safer6.47–13.659.06–16.4515.53–30.10
Offsides
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.103.54safe0.29–2.611.00–3.191.29–5.80safer0.00–2.910.71–3.480.70–6.39
Yellow cards
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.543.35safe0.76–2.850.41–2.671.17–5.52safer0.49–3.120.12–2.960.61–6.08
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.802.306.10safe2.37–5.240.74–3.853.11–9.09safer1.98–5.630.32–4.282.30–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.85 0.00–1.81 0.00–2.07 | 2.23 1.38–3.08 1.15–3.31 | 3.08 1.25–4.90 0.77–5.38 | 18% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.13 1.27–5.00 0.78–5.49 | 5.78 4.04–7.52 3.57–7.99 | 8.92 5.31–12.52 4.36–13.48 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 10.47 6.54–14.39 5.45–15.48 | 14.62 11.05–18.18 10.10–19.14 | 25.09 17.60–32.57 15.55–34.62 | 18% 77% |
| Shots in box | 6.06 3.12–9.00 2.29–9.83 | 10.35 7.67–13.03 6.93–13.77 | 16.41 10.79–22.04 9.22–23.60 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.77 0.89–4.65 0.35–5.20 | 3.73 2.08–5.38 1.58–5.88 | 6.50 2.97–10.04 1.93–11.07 | 28% 15% 57% |
| Corners | 3.82 1.61–6.03 1.03–6.61 | 5.38 3.37–7.38 2.84–7.91 | 9.20 4.98–13.41 3.87–14.52 | 25% 64% |
| Possession % | 47.05 40.26–53.84 38.59–55.51 | 52.88 46.09–59.66 44.42–61.33 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 407 340–474 321–492 | 472 406–539 388–556 | 879 745–1013 710–1048 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.46 70.43–78.49 69.14–79.79 | 77.62 73.30–81.95 71.99–83.26 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 10.06 7.22–12.90 6.47–13.65 | 12.75 9.81–15.70 9.06–16.45 | 22.81 17.03–28.60 15.53–30.10 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 2.10 1.00–3.19 0.71–3.48 | 3.54 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.39 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 1.54 0.41–2.67 0.12–2.96 | 3.35 1.17–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.80 2.37–5.24 1.98–5.63 | 2.30 0.74–3.85 0.32–4.28 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.30–9.90 | 66% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.