UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
26%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.522.59safe0.10–2.040.67–2.380.77–4.42safer0.00–2.290.44–2.610.29–4.90
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.944.518.45safe2.07–5.802.77–6.254.84–12.05safer1.59–6.292.30–6.723.89–13.01
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1012.6624.76safe8.18–16.039.10–16.2217.28–32.25safer7.09–17.128.14–17.1815.23–34.30
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction7.588.0915.67safe4.64–10.525.41–10.7810.05–21.30safer3.81–11.354.68–11.518.48–22.86
Blocked shots
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.646.10safe1.58–5.340.99–4.292.57–9.64safer1.03–5.890.50–4.791.53–10.67
Corners
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.519.31safe2.59–7.022.51–6.515.10–13.52safer2.02–7.591.97–7.043.99–14.63
Possession %
57%
39%
homeawayprediction51.6247.77safe44.83–58.4140.98–54.55safer43.16–60.0839.31–56.22
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction458421878safe391–525354–487745–1012safer373–543337–505709–1048
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction76.3473.83safe72.31–80.3769.50–78.15safer71.01–81.6668.19–79.46
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0712.2323.30safe8.23–13.919.28–15.1717.52–29.08safer7.48–14.678.53–15.9216.01–30.59
Offsides
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.053.54safe0.33–2.650.96–3.141.28–5.79safer0.03–2.950.67–3.430.70–6.38
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.813.57safe0.70–2.800.69–2.941.39–5.74safer0.44–3.070.39–3.240.83–6.30
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.042.635.66safe1.60–4.471.07–4.182.67–8.66safer1.21–4.860.64–4.611.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 1.52 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 2.59 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 27% 26% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.07–5.80 1.59–6.29 | 4.51 2.77–6.25 2.30–6.72 | 8.45 4.84–12.05 3.89–13.01 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 12.10 8.18–16.03 7.09–17.12 | 12.66 9.10–16.22 8.14–17.18 | 24.76 17.28–32.25 15.23–34.30 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 7.58 4.64–10.52 3.81–11.35 | 8.09 5.41–10.78 4.68–11.51 | 15.67 10.05–21.30 8.48–22.86 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.46 1.58–5.34 1.03–5.89 | 2.64 0.99–4.29 0.50–4.79 | 6.10 2.57–9.64 1.53–10.67 | 55% 16% 29% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.59–7.02 2.02–7.59 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.97–7.04 | 9.31 5.10–13.52 3.99–14.63 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 51.62 44.83–58.41 43.16–60.08 | 47.77 40.98–54.55 39.31–56.22 | — | 57% 39% |
| Passes | 458 391–525 373–543 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 878 745–1012 709–1048 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.34 72.31–80.37 71.01–81.66 | 73.83 69.50–78.15 68.19–79.46 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.23–13.91 7.48–14.67 | 12.23 9.28–15.17 8.53–15.92 | 23.30 17.52–29.08 16.01–30.59 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 2.05 0.96–3.14 0.67–3.43 | 3.54 1.28–5.79 0.70–6.38 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 1.81 0.69–2.94 0.39–3.24 | 3.57 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.04 1.60–4.47 1.21–4.86 | 2.63 1.07–4.18 0.64–4.61 | 5.66 2.67–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 48% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.