UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
18%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.351.023.38safe1.39–3.320.17–1.881.55–5.20safer1.13–3.570.00–2.111.07–5.68
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.913.3910.29safe5.04–8.771.64–5.136.69–13.90safer4.55–9.261.18–5.595.73–14.85
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction20.229.5429.76safe16.30–24.155.98–13.1022.27–37.25safer15.20–25.245.02–14.0620.22–39.30
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.645.5019.14safe10.70–16.582.82–8.1813.52–24.76safer9.87–17.412.09–8.9211.95–26.33
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.502.387.89safe3.62–7.390.73–4.044.35–11.42safer3.08–7.930.24–4.533.32–12.46
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.793.3110.10safe4.58–9.011.31–5.315.89–14.32safer4.01–9.580.78–5.854.78–15.42
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction62.2738.88safe55.48–69.0632.09–45.66safer53.81–70.7330.42–47.34
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction548340889safe481–616274–407755–1022safer463–634256–424719–1058
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction77.4570.97safe73.42–81.4866.64–75.29safer72.13–82.7765.33–76.60
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3311.2623.59safe9.49–15.168.31–14.2017.80–29.37safer8.73–15.927.57–14.9516.30–30.87
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.443.28safe0.68–3.000.35–2.541.03–5.53safer0.38–3.300.06–2.820.44–6.12
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.933.51safe0.52–2.620.81–3.061.33–5.69safer0.26–2.890.51–3.350.77–6.24
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.304.356.65safe0.86–3.732.79–5.903.65–9.64safer0.47–4.122.37–6.332.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.35 1.39–3.32 1.13–3.57 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 3.38 1.55–5.20 1.07–5.68 | 67% 18% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.91 5.04–8.77 4.55–9.26 | 3.39 1.64–5.13 1.18–5.59 | 10.29 6.69–13.90 5.73–14.85 | 83% |
| Total shots | 20.22 16.30–24.15 15.20–25.24 | 9.54 5.98–13.10 5.02–14.06 | 29.76 22.27–37.25 20.22–39.30 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.64 10.70–16.58 9.87–17.41 | 5.50 2.82–8.18 2.09–8.92 | 19.14 13.52–24.76 11.95–26.33 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.50 3.62–7.39 3.08–7.93 | 2.38 0.73–4.04 0.24–4.53 | 7.89 4.35–11.42 3.32–12.46 | 83% |
| Corners | 6.79 4.58–9.01 4.01–9.58 | 3.31 1.31–5.31 0.78–5.85 | 10.10 5.89–14.32 4.78–15.42 | 83% |
| Possession % | 62.27 55.48–69.06 53.81–70.73 | 38.88 32.09–45.66 30.42–47.34 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 548 481–616 463–634 | 340 274–407 256–424 | 889 755–1022 719–1058 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.45 73.42–81.48 72.13–82.77 | 70.97 66.64–75.29 65.33–76.60 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 12.33 9.49–15.16 8.73–15.92 | 11.26 8.31–14.20 7.57–14.95 | 23.59 17.80–29.37 16.30–30.87 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.44 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.82 | 3.28 1.03–5.53 0.44–6.12 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.93 0.81–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.77–6.24 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 4.35 2.79–5.90 2.37–6.33 | 6.65 3.65–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 16% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.