UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
25%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.592.68safe0.12–2.050.73–2.440.85–4.50safer0.00–2.310.51–2.670.37–4.98
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.635.018.64safe1.77–5.503.27–6.755.04–12.25safer1.28–5.992.80–7.224.08–13.21
Total shots
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7313.4325.16safe7.81–15.669.86–16.9917.67–32.65safer6.72–16.758.90–17.9515.62–34.70
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction7.079.0716.13safe4.12–10.016.39–11.7510.51–21.76safer3.30–10.845.65–12.488.94–23.32
Blocked shots
23%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.674.106.77safe0.79–4.552.44–5.753.23–10.30safer0.24–5.091.95–6.242.20–11.34
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.025.469.49safe1.81–6.243.46–7.465.27–13.70safer1.24–6.812.93–8.004.17–14.81
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.6757.72safe36.88–50.4650.93–64.50safer35.21–52.1349.26–66.18
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction386503889safe318–453437–570755–1023safer300–471419–587719–1058
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction72.6978.57safe68.66–76.7274.25–82.90safer67.37–78.0172.94–84.21
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3811.4924.87safe10.54–16.228.55–14.4319.09–30.65safer9.79–16.977.80–15.1817.58–32.16
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.383.16safe0.62–2.940.29–2.480.91–5.42safer0.32–3.240.00–2.760.32–6.01
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.254.23safe0.92–3.021.12–3.382.05–6.40safer0.66–3.290.83–3.671.49–6.96
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.100.24safe0.00–0.300.00–0.290.00–0.58safer0.00–0.450.00–0.420.00–0.87
GK saves
52%
17%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.132.495.61safe1.69–4.560.93–4.042.62–8.60safer1.30–4.950.50–4.471.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.31 | 1.59 0.73–2.44 0.51–2.67 | 2.68 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 26% 25% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.63 1.77–5.50 1.28–5.99 | 5.01 3.27–6.75 2.80–7.22 | 8.64 5.04–12.25 4.08–13.21 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 11.73 7.81–15.66 6.72–16.75 | 13.43 9.86–16.99 8.90–17.95 | 25.16 17.67–32.65 15.62–34.70 | 33% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.07 4.12–10.01 3.30–10.84 | 9.07 6.39–11.75 5.65–12.48 | 16.13 10.51–21.76 8.94–23.32 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 2.67 0.79–4.55 0.24–5.09 | 4.10 2.44–5.75 1.95–6.24 | 6.77 3.23–10.30 2.20–11.34 | 23% 14% 64% |
| Corners | 4.02 1.81–6.24 1.24–6.81 | 5.46 3.46–7.46 2.93–8.00 | 9.49 5.27–13.70 4.17–14.81 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 43.67 36.88–50.46 35.21–52.13 | 57.72 50.93–64.50 49.26–66.18 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 386 318–453 300–471 | 503 437–570 419–587 | 889 755–1023 719–1058 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.69 68.66–76.72 67.37–78.01 | 78.57 74.25–82.90 72.94–84.21 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 13.38 10.54–16.22 9.79–16.97 | 11.49 8.55–14.43 7.80–15.18 | 24.87 19.09–30.65 17.58–32.16 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.38 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.76 | 3.16 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.23 2.05–6.40 1.49–6.96 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.13 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 2.49 0.93–4.04 0.50–4.47 | 5.61 2.62–8.60 1.81–9.42 | 52% 17% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.