UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.010.822.83safe1.04–2.980.00–1.671.01–4.66safer0.79–3.230.00–1.900.53–5.14
Shots on target
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.702.998.70safe3.84–7.571.25–4.745.09–12.30safer3.35–8.050.78–5.204.13–13.26
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction14.809.1523.95safe10.87–18.725.59–12.7216.46–31.44safer9.78–19.814.63–13.6814.41–33.49
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction9.385.1014.48safe6.44–12.332.41–7.788.86–20.10safer5.61–13.161.68–8.517.29–21.67
Blocked shots
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.582.496.07safe1.70–5.460.84–4.142.53–9.60safer1.15–6.000.35–4.641.50–10.64
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.973.779.75safe3.76–8.191.77–5.775.54–13.96safer3.19–8.761.24–6.314.43–15.07
Possession %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction57.2643.99safe50.47–64.0537.20–50.77safer48.80–65.7235.53–52.44
Passes
78%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction469374843safe402–536308–441709–977safer384–554290–458674–1012
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction78.6977.29safe74.66–82.7272.96–81.61safer73.37–84.0271.65–82.92
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3112.4225.74safe10.47–16.159.48–15.3719.95–31.52safer9.72–16.918.73–16.1218.45–33.02
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.303.36safe0.90–3.220.21–2.401.11–5.61safer0.60–3.520.00–2.690.52–6.20
Yellow cards
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.374.04safe0.62–2.721.24–3.501.86–6.21safer0.35–2.990.95–3.791.30–6.77
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.320.00–0.55safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.616.02safe0.98–3.852.05–5.163.03–9.01safer0.59–4.241.63–5.592.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.01 1.04–2.98 0.79–3.23 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 65% 20% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.70 3.84–7.57 3.35–8.05 | 2.99 1.25–4.74 0.78–5.20 | 8.70 5.09–12.30 4.13–13.26 | 77% 13% |
| Total shots | 14.80 10.87–18.72 9.78–19.81 | 9.15 5.59–12.72 4.63–13.68 | 23.95 16.46–31.44 14.41–33.49 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.38 6.44–12.33 5.61–13.16 | 5.10 2.41–7.78 1.68–8.51 | 14.48 8.86–20.10 7.29–21.67 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.70–5.46 1.15–6.00 | 2.49 0.84–4.14 0.35–4.64 | 6.07 2.53–9.60 1.50–10.64 | 59% 15% 26% |
| Corners | 5.97 3.76–8.19 3.19–8.76 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.24–6.31 | 9.75 5.54–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 57.26 50.47–64.05 48.80–65.72 | 43.99 37.20–50.77 35.53–52.44 | — | 77% 20% |
| Passes | 469 402–536 384–554 | 374 308–441 290–458 | 843 709–977 674–1012 | 78% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.69 74.66–82.72 73.37–84.02 | 77.29 72.96–81.61 71.65–82.92 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 13.31 10.47–16.15 9.72–16.91 | 12.42 9.48–15.37 8.73–16.12 | 25.74 19.95–31.52 18.45–33.02 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.06 0.90–3.22 0.60–3.52 | 1.30 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.36 1.11–5.61 0.52–6.20 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.99 | 2.37 1.24–3.50 0.95–3.79 | 4.04 1.86–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.61 2.05–5.16 1.63–5.59 | 6.02 3.03–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+