UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
18%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.300.963.26safe1.34–3.270.10–1.811.44–5.08safer1.08–3.520.00–2.040.96–5.56
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.723.3710.08safe4.85–8.581.62–5.116.48–13.69safer4.36–9.071.16–5.585.52–14.64
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.259.8428.09safe14.33–22.176.27–13.4020.60–35.57safer13.23–23.275.32–14.3618.55–37.63
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.625.4818.10safe9.68–15.562.80–8.1612.47–23.72safer8.85–16.392.06–8.9010.91–25.29
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.782.927.71safe2.90–6.671.27–4.574.17–11.24safer2.36–7.210.78–5.073.13–12.28
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.673.3810.06safe4.46–8.891.38–5.385.84–14.27safer3.88–9.460.85–5.924.74–15.38
Possession %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction56.2842.53safe49.49–63.0735.74–49.31safer47.82–64.7434.07–50.99
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction532386919safe465–600320–453785–1052safer447–618302–470749–1088
Pass accuracy %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction74.6769.95safe70.64–78.7065.63–74.28safer69.35–79.9964.32–75.59
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7610.7121.47safe7.92–13.607.76–13.6515.69–27.25safer7.17–14.367.01–14.4014.18–28.75
Offsides
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.323.54safe1.06–3.380.23–2.411.28–5.79safer0.76–3.680.00–2.700.70–6.38
Yellow cards
30%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.823.22safe0.35–2.440.69–2.951.04–5.39safer0.08–2.710.40–3.240.48–5.95
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.344.346.68safe0.90–3.772.79–5.903.69–9.68safer0.51–4.162.36–6.332.88–10.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.30 1.34–3.27 1.08–3.52 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 3.26 1.44–5.08 0.96–5.56 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.72 4.85–8.58 4.36–9.07 | 3.37 1.62–5.11 1.16–5.58 | 10.08 6.48–13.69 5.52–14.64 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.25 14.33–22.17 13.23–23.27 | 9.84 6.27–13.40 5.32–14.36 | 28.09 20.60–35.57 18.55–37.63 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.62 9.68–15.56 8.85–16.39 | 5.48 2.80–8.16 2.06–8.90 | 18.10 12.47–23.72 10.91–25.29 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.78 2.90–6.67 2.36–7.21 | 2.92 1.27–4.57 0.78–5.07 | 7.71 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.28 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.67 4.46–8.89 3.88–9.46 | 3.38 1.38–5.38 0.85–5.92 | 10.06 5.84–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 81% |
| Possession % | 56.28 49.49–63.07 47.82–64.74 | 42.53 35.74–49.31 34.07–50.99 | — | 77% 19% |
| Passes | 532 465–600 447–618 | 386 320–453 302–470 | 919 785–1052 749–1088 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.67 70.64–78.70 69.35–79.99 | 69.95 65.63–74.28 64.32–75.59 | — | 71% 25% |
| Fouls | 10.76 7.92–13.60 7.17–14.36 | 10.71 7.76–13.65 7.01–14.40 | 21.47 15.69–27.25 14.18–28.75 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.22 1.06–3.38 0.76–3.68 | 1.32 0.23–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.54 1.28–5.79 0.70–6.38 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.35–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.22 1.04–5.39 0.48–5.95 | 30% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.77 0.51–4.16 | 4.34 2.79–5.90 2.36–6.33 | 6.68 3.69–9.68 2.88–10.49 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+