UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.280.723.00safe1.31–3.250.00–1.581.18–4.83safer1.06–3.500.00–1.810.70–5.31
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.412.649.05safe4.55–8.270.89–4.385.44–12.65safer4.06–8.760.43–4.844.49–13.61
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction18.377.0025.37safe14.45–22.303.44–10.5617.88–32.86safer13.35–23.392.48–11.5215.83–34.91
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction12.193.8516.04safe9.25–15.131.17–6.5310.42–21.66safer8.42–15.960.43–7.278.85–23.23
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction4.941.896.83safe3.06–6.820.24–3.543.29–10.37safer2.52–7.370.00–4.032.26–11.40
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.072.559.62safe4.86–9.280.55–4.555.40–13.83safer4.28–9.860.01–5.084.30–14.94
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.6038.37safe55.81–69.3931.58–45.15safer54.14–71.0629.91–46.82
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction587380967safe520–654314–447833–1101safer502–672296–464798–1136
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction83.1275.61safe79.09–87.1571.28–79.93safer77.80–88.4569.97–81.24
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4010.6323.03safe9.56–15.247.68–13.5717.25–28.81safer8.81–16.006.93–14.3215.74–30.32
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.333.32safe0.83–3.160.24–2.421.07–5.58safer0.53–3.460.00–2.710.48–6.17
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.093.52safe0.38–2.480.96–3.221.34–5.70safer0.12–2.750.67–3.510.79–6.26
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction1.894.296.18safe0.45–3.322.73–5.853.18–9.17safer0.06–3.712.31–6.272.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.28 1.31–3.25 1.06–3.50 | 0.72 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.81 | 3.00 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 73% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.41 4.55–8.27 4.06–8.76 | 2.64 0.89–4.38 0.43–4.84 | 9.05 5.44–12.65 4.49–13.61 | 87% |
| Total shots | 18.37 14.45–22.30 13.35–23.39 | 7.00 3.44–10.56 2.48–11.52 | 25.37 17.88–32.86 15.83–34.91 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 12.19 9.25–15.13 8.42–15.96 | 3.85 1.17–6.53 0.43–7.27 | 16.04 10.42–21.66 8.85–23.23 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 4.94 3.06–6.82 2.52–7.37 | 1.89 0.24–3.54 0.00–4.03 | 6.83 3.29–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.07 4.86–9.28 4.28–9.86 | 2.55 0.55–4.55 0.01–5.08 | 9.62 5.40–13.83 4.30–14.94 | 91% |
| Possession % | 62.60 55.81–69.39 54.14–71.06 | 38.37 31.58–45.15 29.91–46.82 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 587 520–654 502–672 | 380 314–447 296–464 | 967 833–1101 798–1136 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.12 79.09–87.15 77.80–88.45 | 75.61 71.28–79.93 69.97–81.24 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 12.40 9.56–15.24 8.81–16.00 | 10.63 7.68–13.57 6.93–14.32 | 23.03 17.25–28.81 15.74–30.32 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.16 0.53–3.46 | 1.33 0.24–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.32 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.12–2.75 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.89 0.45–3.32 0.06–3.71 | 4.29 2.73–5.85 2.31–6.27 | 6.18 3.18–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+