UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.693.00safe0.34–2.280.83–2.541.17–4.82safer0.09–2.530.60–2.770.69–5.30
Shots on target
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.465.7910.24safe2.59–6.324.04–7.536.64–13.85safer2.10–6.813.58–7.995.68–14.80
Total shots
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0014.2626.26safe8.07–15.9210.70–17.8218.77–33.75safer6.98–17.019.74–18.7816.72–35.80
Shots in box
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction7.629.4417.05safe4.67–10.566.76–12.1211.43–22.68safer3.85–11.396.02–12.869.86–24.24
Blocked shots
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.796.87safe1.19–4.962.14–5.453.33–10.40safer0.65–5.501.65–5.942.30–11.44
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.025.399.41safe1.81–6.243.39–7.395.19–13.62safer1.23–6.812.85–7.924.09–14.73
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction47.3654.39safe40.57–54.1547.61–61.18safer38.90–55.8245.94–62.85
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction430502933safe363–497436–569799–1066safer345–515418–586763–1102
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction76.2979.37safe72.26–80.3275.05–83.70safer70.97–81.6173.74–85.01
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0513.3124.36safe8.22–13.8910.36–16.2518.58–30.14safer7.46–14.659.61–17.0017.07–31.65
Offsides
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.113.76safe0.49–2.811.02–3.201.51–6.02safer0.19–3.110.73–3.490.92–6.61
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.474.15safe0.63–2.731.34–3.601.97–6.33safer0.36–3.001.05–3.891.41–6.88
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.202.956.15safe1.77–4.641.39–4.513.16–9.15safer1.38–5.030.97–4.932.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.69 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.77 | 3.00 1.17–4.82 0.69–5.30 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.59–6.32 2.10–6.81 | 5.79 4.04–7.53 3.58–7.99 | 10.24 6.64–13.85 5.68–14.80 | 28% 60% |
| Total shots | 12.00 8.07–15.92 6.98–17.01 | 14.26 10.70–17.82 9.74–18.78 | 26.26 18.77–33.75 16.72–35.80 | 29% 63% |
| Shots in box | 7.62 4.67–10.56 3.85–11.39 | 9.44 6.76–12.12 6.02–12.86 | 17.05 11.43–22.68 9.86–24.24 | 29% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.19–4.96 0.65–5.50 | 3.79 2.14–5.45 1.65–5.94 | 6.87 3.33–10.40 2.30–11.44 | 32% 15% 53% |
| Corners | 4.02 1.81–6.24 1.23–6.81 | 5.39 3.39–7.39 2.85–7.92 | 9.41 5.19–13.62 4.09–14.73 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 47.36 40.57–54.15 38.90–55.82 | 54.39 47.61–61.18 45.94–62.85 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 430 363–497 345–515 | 502 436–569 418–586 | 933 799–1066 763–1102 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.29 72.26–80.32 70.97–81.61 | 79.37 75.05–83.70 73.74–85.01 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.22–13.89 7.46–14.65 | 13.31 10.36–16.25 9.61–17.00 | 24.36 18.58–30.14 17.07–31.65 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 2.11 1.02–3.20 0.73–3.49 | 3.76 1.51–6.02 0.92–6.61 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–3.00 | 2.47 1.34–3.60 1.05–3.89 | 4.15 1.97–6.33 1.41–6.88 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.20 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 2.95 1.39–4.51 0.97–4.93 | 6.15 3.16–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.