UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
18%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.431.033.46safe1.46–3.400.18–1.891.64–5.29safer1.21–3.650.00–2.111.16–5.77
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.563.019.57safe4.70–8.421.26–4.755.96–13.17safer4.21–8.910.80–5.215.01–14.13
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.098.7325.82safe13.17–21.025.17–12.2918.33–33.31safer12.08–22.114.21–13.2516.28–35.36
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction11.805.2017.01safe8.86–14.752.52–7.8811.38–22.63safer8.03–15.581.78–8.629.82–24.20
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.322.276.59safe2.44–6.200.62–3.933.06–10.13safer1.90–6.750.13–4.422.02–11.16
Corners
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.973.389.35safe3.76–8.191.38–5.385.14–13.57safer3.18–8.760.85–5.914.03–14.67
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.7641.36safe52.97–66.5534.57–48.14safer51.30–68.2232.90–49.81
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction547356903safe480–614289–422769–1037safer462–633272–440734–1072
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction82.6874.38safe78.65–86.7070.05–78.70safer77.35–88.0068.75–80.01
Fouls
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5113.7524.25safe7.67–13.3410.80–16.6918.47–30.03safer6.91–14.1010.05–17.4416.97–31.54
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.863.63safe0.61–2.930.77–2.951.37–5.88safer0.31–3.230.48–3.240.78–6.47
Yellow cards
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.323.66safe0.28–2.381.20–3.451.48–5.83safer0.02–2.650.90–3.740.92–6.39
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.203.996.18safe0.76–3.632.43–5.543.19–9.17safer0.37–4.022.01–5.972.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.43 1.46–3.40 1.21–3.65 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.11 | 3.46 1.64–5.29 1.16–5.77 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.56 4.70–8.42 4.21–8.91 | 3.01 1.26–4.75 0.80–5.21 | 9.57 5.96–13.17 5.01–14.13 | 84% |
| Total shots | 17.09 13.17–21.02 12.08–22.11 | 8.73 5.17–12.29 4.21–13.25 | 25.82 18.33–33.31 16.28–35.36 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.80 8.86–14.75 8.03–15.58 | 5.20 2.52–7.88 1.78–8.62 | 17.01 11.38–22.63 9.82–24.20 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.44–6.20 1.90–6.75 | 2.27 0.62–3.93 0.13–4.42 | 6.59 3.06–10.13 2.02–11.16 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 5.97 3.76–8.19 3.18–8.76 | 3.38 1.38–5.38 0.85–5.91 | 9.35 5.14–13.57 4.03–14.67 | 75% 15% |
| Possession % | 59.76 52.97–66.55 51.30–68.22 | 41.36 34.57–48.14 32.90–49.81 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 547 480–614 462–633 | 356 289–422 272–440 | 903 769–1037 734–1072 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.68 78.65–86.70 77.35–88.00 | 74.38 70.05–78.70 68.75–80.01 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.51 7.67–13.34 6.91–14.10 | 13.75 10.80–16.69 10.05–17.44 | 24.25 18.47–30.03 16.97–31.54 | 22% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.86 0.77–2.95 0.48–3.24 | 3.63 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.02–2.65 | 2.32 1.20–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 3.66 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.76–3.63 0.37–4.02 | 3.99 2.43–5.54 2.01–5.97 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.38–9.99 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.