UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.013.18safe1.20–3.130.16–1.871.35–5.00safer0.95–3.390.00–2.090.87–5.48
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.483.5410.02safe4.62–8.341.79–5.286.41–13.62safer4.13–8.831.33–5.755.45–14.58
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.6510.4529.10safe14.73–22.586.89–14.0121.62–36.59safer13.64–23.675.93–14.9719.57–38.64
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.976.6117.58safe8.03–13.913.93–9.2911.96–23.21safer7.20–14.743.19–10.0310.39–24.77
Blocked shots
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.812.807.62safe2.93–6.701.15–4.464.08–11.15safer2.39–7.240.66–4.953.05–12.19
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.443.8510.29safe4.23–8.661.85–5.856.08–14.50safer3.66–9.231.31–6.384.97–15.61
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction60.0142.65safe53.22–66.8035.86–49.43safer51.55–68.4734.19–51.10
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction531357888safe464–598290–423754–1021safer446–616273–441718–1057
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction81.2573.56safe77.22–85.2869.24–77.89safer75.93–86.5767.93–79.20
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6013.3425.94safe9.77–15.4410.40–16.2920.16–31.73safer9.01–16.209.65–17.0418.66–33.23
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.683.27safe0.42–2.740.59–2.781.01–5.52safer0.12–3.050.30–3.060.42–6.11
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.263.59safe0.28–2.381.13–3.391.41–5.77safer0.02–2.650.84–3.680.85–6.33
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.334.066.39safe0.89–3.772.51–5.623.40–9.39safer0.51–4.152.08–6.042.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.17 1.20–3.13 0.95–3.39 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.09 | 3.18 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 64% 20% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.48 4.62–8.34 4.13–8.83 | 3.54 1.79–5.28 1.33–5.75 | 10.02 6.41–13.62 5.45–14.58 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 18.65 14.73–22.58 13.64–23.67 | 10.45 6.89–14.01 5.93–14.97 | 29.10 21.62–36.59 19.57–38.64 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 10.97 8.03–13.91 7.20–14.74 | 6.61 3.93–9.29 3.19–10.03 | 17.58 11.96–23.21 10.39–24.77 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.81 2.93–6.70 2.39–7.24 | 2.80 1.15–4.46 0.66–4.95 | 7.62 4.08–11.15 3.05–12.19 | 71% 18% |
| Corners | 6.44 4.23–8.66 3.66–9.23 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.31–6.38 | 10.29 6.08–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 60.01 53.22–66.80 51.55–68.47 | 42.65 35.86–49.43 34.19–51.10 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 531 464–598 446–616 | 357 290–423 273–441 | 888 754–1021 718–1057 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.25 77.22–85.28 75.93–86.57 | 73.56 69.24–77.89 67.93–79.20 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 12.60 9.77–15.44 9.01–16.20 | 13.34 10.40–16.29 9.65–17.04 | 25.94 20.16–31.73 18.66–33.23 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.05 | 1.68 0.59–2.78 0.30–3.06 | 3.27 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.02–2.65 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.85–6.33 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.89–3.77 0.51–4.15 | 4.06 2.51–5.62 2.08–6.04 | 6.39 3.40–9.39 2.59–10.20 | 18% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+