UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.792.112.90safe0.00–1.761.25–2.961.08–4.72safer0.00–2.011.02–3.190.60–5.20
Shots on target
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.995.498.49safe1.13–4.863.75–7.244.88–12.09safer0.64–5.353.29–7.703.93–13.05
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2515.2924.54safe5.33–13.1811.72–18.8517.05–32.03safer4.23–14.2710.76–19.8115.00–34.08
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.1310.4315.56safe2.19–8.087.75–13.119.94–21.19safer1.36–8.917.01–13.858.37–22.75
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.364.206.56safe0.48–4.252.55–5.853.03–10.10safer0.00–4.792.05–6.341.99–11.13
Corners
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.345.839.17safe1.13–5.563.83–7.834.96–13.39safer0.56–6.133.30–8.363.85–14.49
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction36.4962.81safe29.70–43.2856.03–69.59safer28.03–44.9554.35–71.27
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction378615993safe311–445549–681859–1127safer293–464531–699824–1162
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction80.0890.35safe76.05–84.1186.03–94.68safer74.76–85.4184.72–95.99
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4410.0421.48safe8.60–14.287.10–12.9915.70–27.26safer7.84–15.036.35–13.7314.19–28.77
Offsides
56%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.301.473.77safe1.14–3.460.38–2.561.52–6.02safer0.84–3.760.09–2.850.93–6.61
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.883.97safe1.05–3.150.75–3.011.80–6.15safer0.78–3.410.46–3.301.24–6.71
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
62%
15%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.552.275.82safe2.12–4.990.72–3.832.83–8.82safer1.73–5.370.29–4.252.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.79 0.00–1.76 0.00–2.01 | 2.11 1.25–2.96 1.02–3.19 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 19% 68% |
| Shots on target | 2.99 1.13–4.86 0.64–5.35 | 5.49 3.75–7.24 3.29–7.70 | 8.49 4.88–12.09 3.93–13.05 | 15% 75% |
| Total shots | 9.25 5.33–13.18 4.23–14.27 | 15.29 11.72–18.85 10.76–19.81 | 24.54 17.05–32.03 15.00–34.08 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 5.13 2.19–8.08 1.36–8.91 | 10.43 7.75–13.11 7.01–13.85 | 15.56 9.94–21.19 8.37–22.75 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 2.36 0.48–4.25 0.00–4.79 | 4.20 2.55–5.85 2.05–6.34 | 6.56 3.03–10.10 1.99–11.13 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 3.34 1.13–5.56 0.56–6.13 | 5.83 3.83–7.83 3.30–8.36 | 9.17 4.96–13.39 3.85–14.49 | 16% 74% |
| Possession % | 36.49 29.70–43.28 28.03–44.95 | 62.81 56.03–69.59 54.35–71.27 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 378 311–445 293–464 | 615 549–681 531–699 | 993 859–1127 824–1162 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.08 76.05–84.11 74.76–85.41 | 90.35 86.03–94.68 84.72–95.99 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.44 8.60–14.28 7.84–15.03 | 10.04 7.10–12.99 6.35–13.73 | 21.48 15.70–27.26 14.19–28.77 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.30 1.14–3.46 0.84–3.76 | 1.47 0.38–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.77 1.52–6.02 0.93–6.61 | 56% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.05–3.15 0.78–3.41 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.97 1.80–6.15 1.24–6.71 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.55 2.12–4.99 1.73–5.37 | 2.27 0.72–3.83 0.29–4.25 | 5.82 2.83–8.82 2.02–9.63 | 62% 15% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.