UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.172.59safe0.45–2.390.31–2.020.77–4.41safer0.20–2.640.09–2.250.29–4.89
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.304.258.55safe2.44–6.162.51–5.994.94–12.15safer1.95–6.652.04–6.463.99–13.11
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9112.7725.69safe8.99–16.849.21–16.3418.20–33.18safer7.90–17.938.25–17.3016.15–35.23
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction7.877.6315.51safe4.93–10.814.95–10.329.88–21.13safer4.10–11.644.22–11.058.32–22.70
Blocked shots
39%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.353.546.89safe1.47–5.231.89–5.193.36–10.43safer0.93–5.781.39–5.692.32–11.46
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.925.019.93safe2.71–7.133.01–7.015.72–14.15safer2.13–7.712.48–7.554.61–15.25
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.5750.50safe43.78–57.3643.72–57.28safer42.11–59.0342.04–58.96
Passes
48%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction453458912safe386–521392–525778–1045safer368–539374–542742–1081
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction77.1078.14safe73.07–81.1373.81–82.46safer71.78–82.4272.50–83.77
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5312.3623.89safe8.69–14.379.42–15.3018.11–29.67safer7.94–15.128.67–16.0516.60–31.18
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.393.13safe0.58–2.900.30–2.480.88–5.38safer0.28–3.200.01–2.770.29–5.97
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.073.98safe0.86–2.960.95–3.201.80–6.16safer0.59–3.220.65–3.491.25–6.72
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.762.815.57safe1.33–4.201.25–4.362.58–8.56safer0.94–4.590.82–4.791.77–9.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.09–2.25 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.30 2.44–6.16 1.95–6.65 | 4.25 2.51–5.99 2.04–6.46 | 8.55 4.94–12.15 3.99–13.11 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 12.91 8.99–16.84 7.90–17.93 | 12.77 9.21–16.34 8.25–17.30 | 25.69 18.20–33.18 16.15–35.23 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 7.87 4.93–10.81 4.10–11.64 | 7.63 4.95–10.32 4.22–11.05 | 15.51 9.88–21.13 8.32–22.70 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.47–5.23 0.93–5.78 | 3.54 1.89–5.19 1.39–5.69 | 6.89 3.36–10.43 2.32–11.46 | 39% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 4.92 2.71–7.13 2.13–7.71 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.48–7.55 | 9.93 5.72–14.15 4.61–15.25 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 50.57 43.78–57.36 42.11–59.03 | 50.50 43.72–57.28 42.04–58.96 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 453 386–521 368–539 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 912 778–1045 742–1081 | 48% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.10 73.07–81.13 71.78–82.42 | 78.14 73.81–82.46 72.50–83.77 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 11.53 8.69–14.37 7.94–15.12 | 12.36 9.42–15.30 8.67–16.05 | 23.89 18.11–29.67 16.60–31.18 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 3.13 0.88–5.38 0.29–5.97 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.22 | 2.07 0.95–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.98 1.80–6.16 1.25–6.72 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 2.81 1.25–4.36 0.82–4.79 | 5.57 2.58–8.56 1.77–9.37 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.