UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
23%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction0.971.792.75safe0.00–1.940.93–2.640.93–4.58safer0.00–2.190.70–2.870.45–5.06
Shots on target
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.824.818.63safe1.96–5.693.06–6.555.03–12.24safer1.47–6.182.60–7.024.07–13.19
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9413.3324.27safe7.02–14.879.76–16.8916.78–31.76safer5.93–15.968.80–17.8514.73–33.81
Shots in box
18%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction6.449.5515.99safe3.50–9.396.87–12.2310.37–21.62safer2.67–10.226.13–12.978.80–23.18
Blocked shots
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.486.07safe0.71–4.471.83–5.142.54–9.61safer0.16–5.011.34–5.631.50–10.64
Corners
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.345.149.48safe2.13–6.553.14–7.145.27–13.70safer1.55–7.132.61–7.684.16–14.80
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction47.3951.66safe40.60–54.1844.87–58.44safer38.93–55.8543.20–60.11
Passes
39%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction408442850safe341–475375–508716–984safer323–493358–526681–1019
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction70.5073.58safe66.47–74.5369.26–77.91safer65.18–75.8267.95–79.21
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7212.3925.11safe9.88–15.559.45–15.3419.33–30.89safer9.12–16.318.70–16.0817.82–32.39
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.933.59safe0.51–2.830.83–3.021.34–5.85safer0.21–3.130.55–3.310.75–6.44
Yellow cards
34%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.174.05safe0.83–2.931.04–3.301.87–6.22safer0.56–3.190.75–3.591.31–6.78
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.685.62safe1.51–4.381.13–4.242.63–8.62safer1.12–4.770.70–4.661.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.97 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.19 | 1.79 0.93–2.64 0.70–2.87 | 2.75 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 20% 23% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.82 1.96–5.69 1.47–6.18 | 4.81 3.06–6.55 2.60–7.02 | 8.63 5.03–12.24 4.07–13.19 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Total shots | 10.94 7.02–14.87 5.93–15.96 | 13.33 9.76–16.89 8.80–17.85 | 24.27 16.78–31.76 14.73–33.81 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 6.44 3.50–9.39 2.67–10.22 | 9.55 6.87–12.23 6.13–12.97 | 15.99 10.37–21.62 8.80–23.18 | 18% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 2.59 0.71–4.47 0.16–5.01 | 3.48 1.83–5.14 1.34–5.63 | 6.07 2.54–9.61 1.50–10.64 | 28% 16% 56% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.13–6.55 1.55–7.13 | 5.14 3.14–7.14 2.61–7.68 | 9.48 5.27–13.70 4.16–14.80 | 33% 54% |
| Possession % | 47.39 40.60–54.18 38.93–55.85 | 51.66 44.87–58.44 43.20–60.11 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 408 341–475 323–493 | 442 375–508 358–526 | 850 716–984 681–1019 | 39% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.50 66.47–74.53 65.18–75.82 | 73.58 69.26–77.91 67.95–79.21 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 12.72 9.88–15.55 9.12–16.31 | 12.39 9.45–15.34 8.70–16.08 | 25.11 19.33–30.89 17.82–32.39 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.93 0.83–3.02 0.55–3.31 | 3.59 1.34–5.85 0.75–6.44 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.19 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.05 1.87–6.22 1.31–6.78 | 34% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 2.68 1.13–4.24 0.70–4.66 | 5.62 2.63–8.62 1.82–9.43 | 46% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+