UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
25%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.572.81safe0.27–2.210.72–2.430.99–4.64safer0.02–2.460.49–2.660.51–5.12
Shots on target
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.175.109.27safe2.31–6.043.36–6.845.67–12.88safer1.82–6.532.89–7.314.71–13.83
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2013.6325.84safe8.28–16.1310.07–17.2018.35–33.32safer7.19–17.229.11–18.1616.30–35.37
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction8.048.7316.77safe5.10–10.986.05–11.4111.15–22.39safer4.27–11.815.31–12.159.58–23.96
Blocked shots
44%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.473.366.84safe1.59–5.361.71–5.023.30–10.37safer1.05–5.901.22–5.512.27–11.41
Corners
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.444.859.29safe2.23–6.652.85–6.855.08–13.51safer1.65–7.232.32–7.383.97–14.61
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.6753.02safe40.88–54.4646.23–59.80safer39.21–56.1344.56–61.48
Passes
32%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction444500944safe376–511434–567810–1077safer358–529416–584774–1113
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction72.5078.27safe68.47–76.5373.94–82.59safer67.18–77.8272.64–83.90
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5412.3923.93safe8.70–14.379.44–15.3318.14–29.71safer7.94–15.138.69–16.0816.64–31.21
Offsides
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.953.73safe0.62–2.940.86–3.041.47–5.98safer0.32–3.240.57–3.330.88–6.57
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.173.85safe0.64–2.731.04–3.301.68–6.03safer0.37–3.000.75–3.591.12–6.59
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
47%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.152.825.97safe1.71–4.581.27–4.382.98–8.96safer1.32–4.970.84–4.802.17–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.57 0.72–2.43 0.49–2.66 | 2.81 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 30% 25% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.04 1.82–6.53 | 5.10 3.36–6.84 2.89–7.31 | 9.27 5.67–12.88 4.71–13.83 | 32% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.20 8.28–16.13 7.19–17.22 | 13.63 10.07–17.20 9.11–18.16 | 25.84 18.35–33.32 16.30–35.37 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.04 5.10–10.98 4.27–11.81 | 8.73 6.05–11.41 5.31–12.15 | 16.77 11.15–22.39 9.58–23.96 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.59–5.36 1.05–5.90 | 3.36 1.71–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 6.84 3.30–10.37 2.27–11.41 | 44% 16% 41% |
| Corners | 4.44 2.23–6.65 1.65–7.23 | 4.85 2.85–6.85 2.32–7.38 | 9.29 5.08–13.51 3.97–14.61 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Possession % | 47.67 40.88–54.46 39.21–56.13 | 53.02 46.23–59.80 44.56–61.48 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 444 376–511 358–529 | 500 434–567 416–584 | 944 810–1077 774–1113 | 32% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.50 68.47–76.53 67.18–77.82 | 78.27 73.94–82.59 72.64–83.90 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 11.54 8.70–14.37 7.94–15.13 | 12.39 9.44–15.33 8.69–16.08 | 23.93 18.14–29.71 16.64–31.21 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.95 0.86–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 3.73 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.64–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.85 1.68–6.03 1.12–6.59 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.71–4.58 1.32–4.97 | 2.82 1.27–4.38 0.84–4.80 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.77 | 47% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.