UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.212.94safe0.76–2.700.35–2.061.11–4.76safer0.51–2.950.12–2.290.64–5.24
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.023.868.88safe3.16–6.892.12–5.605.28–12.49safer2.67–7.371.65–6.074.32–13.44
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3710.6526.03safe11.45–19.307.09–14.2218.54–33.51safer10.36–20.396.13–15.1716.49–35.56
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.326.9117.23safe7.38–13.264.23–9.5911.61–22.86safer6.55–14.093.49–10.3310.04–24.42
Blocked shots
63%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.412.997.40safe2.53–6.301.34–4.643.87–10.94safer1.99–6.840.84–5.132.83–11.97
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.783.899.67safe3.57–8.001.89–5.895.46–13.89safer2.99–8.571.36–6.434.35–15.00
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.6343.71safe49.84–63.4236.93–50.50safer48.17–65.0935.25–52.17
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction530385916safe463–598319–452782–1049safer445–616301–469746–1085
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction70.9668.34safe66.93–74.9964.02–72.67safer65.64–76.2862.71–73.98
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9513.2424.19safe8.12–13.7910.29–16.1818.41–29.97safer7.36–14.559.54–16.9316.90–31.48
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.893.50safe0.45–2.770.80–2.991.25–5.75safer0.15–3.070.51–3.270.66–6.34
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.263.78safe0.47–2.571.13–3.381.60–5.95safer0.20–2.840.84–3.681.04–6.51
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.386.01safe1.19–4.061.83–4.943.02–9.00safer0.80–4.451.40–5.362.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.76–2.70 0.51–2.95 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.94 1.11–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 50% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.02 3.16–6.89 2.67–7.37 | 3.86 2.12–5.60 1.65–6.07 | 8.88 5.28–12.49 4.32–13.44 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 15.37 11.45–19.30 10.36–20.39 | 10.65 7.09–14.22 6.13–15.17 | 26.03 18.54–33.51 16.49–35.56 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.32 7.38–13.26 6.55–14.09 | 6.91 4.23–9.59 3.49–10.33 | 17.23 11.61–22.86 10.04–24.42 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.53–6.30 1.99–6.84 | 2.99 1.34–4.64 0.84–5.13 | 7.40 3.87–10.94 2.83–11.97 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 5.78 3.57–8.00 2.99–8.57 | 3.89 1.89–5.89 1.36–6.43 | 9.67 5.46–13.89 4.35–15.00 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 56.63 49.84–63.42 48.17–65.09 | 43.71 36.93–50.50 35.25–52.17 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 530 463–598 445–616 | 385 319–452 301–469 | 916 782–1049 746–1085 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.96 66.93–74.99 65.64–76.28 | 68.34 64.02–72.67 62.71–73.98 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 10.95 8.12–13.79 7.36–14.55 | 13.24 10.29–16.18 9.54–16.93 | 24.19 18.41–29.97 16.90–31.48 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.27 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.84 | 2.26 1.13–3.38 0.84–3.68 | 3.78 1.60–5.95 1.04–6.51 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 3.38 1.83–4.94 1.40–5.36 | 6.01 3.02–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.