UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.032.76safe0.77–2.700.17–1.880.94–4.58safer0.51–2.950.00–2.110.46–5.06
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.363.568.93safe3.50–7.231.82–5.315.32–12.53safer3.01–7.721.36–5.774.37–13.49
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8210.0224.84safe10.90–18.756.46–13.5817.35–32.33safer9.81–19.845.50–14.5415.30–34.38
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.406.6917.09safe7.46–13.344.01–9.3711.47–22.71safer6.63–14.173.27–10.119.90–24.28
Blocked shots
68%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.362.596.94safe2.48–6.240.93–4.243.41–10.48safer1.93–6.780.44–4.732.37–11.51
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.084.2310.31safe3.87–8.292.23–6.236.10–14.52safer3.29–8.871.70–6.764.99–15.63
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.9044.95safe48.11–61.6938.16–51.73safer46.44–63.3636.49–53.40
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction509404913safe442–576337–470779–1047safer424–595320–488744–1082
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction72.2770.49safe68.24–76.3066.17–74.82safer66.95–77.5964.86–76.13
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5312.4222.94safe7.69–13.369.47–15.3617.16–28.72safer6.93–14.128.72–16.1115.66–30.23
Offsides
27%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.033.47safe0.27–2.590.94–3.131.21–5.72safer0.00–2.890.65–3.410.62–6.31
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.993.43safe0.39–2.490.86–3.121.26–5.61safer0.13–2.760.57–3.410.70–6.17
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.463.505.96safe1.02–3.891.94–5.062.97–8.95safer0.64–4.281.52–5.482.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.77–2.70 0.51–2.95 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 54% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.36 3.50–7.23 3.01–7.72 | 3.56 1.82–5.31 1.36–5.77 | 8.93 5.32–12.53 4.37–13.49 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 14.82 10.90–18.75 9.81–19.84 | 10.02 6.46–13.58 5.50–14.54 | 24.84 17.35–32.33 15.30–34.38 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.40 7.46–13.34 6.63–14.17 | 6.69 4.01–9.37 3.27–10.11 | 17.09 11.47–22.71 9.90–24.28 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.36 2.48–6.24 1.93–6.78 | 2.59 0.93–4.24 0.44–4.73 | 6.94 3.41–10.48 2.37–11.51 | 68% 19% |
| Corners | 6.08 3.87–8.29 3.29–8.87 | 4.23 2.23–6.23 1.70–6.76 | 10.31 6.10–14.52 4.99–15.63 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 54.90 48.11–61.69 46.44–63.36 | 44.95 38.16–51.73 36.49–53.40 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 509 442–576 424–595 | 404 337–470 320–488 | 913 779–1047 744–1082 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.27 68.24–76.30 66.95–77.59 | 70.49 66.17–74.82 64.86–76.13 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 10.53 7.69–13.36 6.93–14.12 | 12.42 9.47–15.36 8.72–16.11 | 22.94 17.16–28.72 15.66–30.23 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 2.03 0.94–3.13 0.65–3.41 | 3.47 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 27% 21% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.43 1.26–5.61 0.70–6.17 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.89 0.64–4.28 | 3.50 1.94–5.06 1.52–5.48 | 5.96 2.97–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.