UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
19%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.220.853.07safe1.25–3.190.00–1.711.25–4.90safer1.00–3.440.00–1.940.77–5.38
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.783.188.96safe3.92–7.641.44–4.925.35–12.56safer3.43–8.130.97–5.394.40–13.52
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.469.4025.86safe12.53–20.385.84–12.9618.37–33.34safer11.44–21.474.88–13.9216.32–35.40
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.335.5316.86safe8.39–14.282.84–8.2111.24–22.48safer7.56–15.102.11–8.949.67–24.05
Blocked shots
66%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.122.526.65safe2.24–6.010.87–4.183.11–10.18safer1.70–6.550.38–4.672.07–11.22
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.583.7210.30safe4.37–8.791.72–5.726.08–14.51safer3.79–9.371.18–6.254.98–15.62
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction59.2942.55safe52.50–66.0835.77–49.34safer50.83–67.7534.09–51.01
Passes
86%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction520388908safe453–588322–455775–1042safer435–606304–472739–1078
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction75.5472.92safe71.51–79.5668.60–77.25safer70.21–80.8667.29–78.56
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5813.6125.19safe8.74–14.4210.67–16.5619.41–30.97safer7.98–15.179.92–17.3117.90–32.48
Offsides
46%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.663.65safe0.83–3.150.57–2.761.40–5.90safer0.53–3.450.28–3.040.81–6.49
Yellow cards
27%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.364.01safe0.60–2.701.23–3.481.83–6.18safer0.33–2.970.93–3.781.27–6.74
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.243.425.67safe0.81–3.681.87–4.982.68–8.66safer0.42–4.071.44–5.411.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.22 1.25–3.19 1.00–3.44 | 0.85 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 3.07 1.25–4.90 0.77–5.38 | 68% 19% 13% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.92–7.64 3.43–8.13 | 3.18 1.44–4.92 0.97–5.39 | 8.96 5.35–12.56 4.40–13.52 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 16.46 12.53–20.38 11.44–21.47 | 9.40 5.84–12.96 4.88–13.92 | 25.86 18.37–33.34 16.32–35.40 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.33 8.39–14.28 7.56–15.10 | 5.53 2.84–8.21 2.11–8.94 | 16.86 11.24–22.48 9.67–24.05 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.12 2.24–6.01 1.70–6.55 | 2.52 0.87–4.18 0.38–4.67 | 6.65 3.11–10.18 2.07–11.22 | 66% 13% 20% |
| Corners | 6.58 4.37–8.79 3.79–9.37 | 3.72 1.72–5.72 1.18–6.25 | 10.30 6.08–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 59.29 52.50–66.08 50.83–67.75 | 42.55 35.77–49.34 34.09–51.01 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 520 453–588 435–606 | 388 322–455 304–472 | 908 775–1042 739–1078 | 86% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.54 71.51–79.56 70.21–80.86 | 72.92 68.60–77.25 67.29–78.56 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 11.58 8.74–14.42 7.98–15.17 | 13.61 10.67–16.56 9.92–17.31 | 25.19 19.41–30.97 17.90–32.48 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.04 | 3.65 1.40–5.90 0.81–6.49 | 46% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.33–2.97 | 2.36 1.23–3.48 0.93–3.78 | 4.01 1.83–6.18 1.27–6.74 | 27% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.81–3.68 0.42–4.07 | 3.42 1.87–4.98 1.44–5.41 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.