UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.372.72safe0.38–2.310.52–2.230.90–4.54safer0.13–2.570.29–2.460.42–5.02
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.954.629.57safe3.09–6.822.87–6.365.97–13.18safer2.60–7.312.41–6.835.01–14.13
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1113.6226.73safe9.19–17.0410.06–17.1819.24–34.22safer8.10–18.139.10–18.1417.19–36.27
Shots in box
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.718.7517.46safe5.76–11.656.07–11.4311.84–23.08safer4.93–12.485.33–12.1710.27–24.65
Blocked shots
33%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.564.247.80safe1.68–5.442.59–5.904.27–11.34safer1.13–5.992.10–6.393.23–12.37
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.549.64safe2.89–7.322.54–6.545.43–13.86safer2.32–7.892.01–7.074.32–14.96
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.9049.10safe45.11–58.6942.32–55.89safer43.44–60.3640.65–57.56
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction512458970safe445–579392–525836–1104safer427–597374–542801–1139
Pass accuracy %
22%
75%
homeawayprediction68.3273.93safe64.29–72.3569.61–78.26safer63.00–73.6468.30–79.57
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7213.3624.08safe7.88–13.5610.41–16.3018.30–29.86safer7.13–14.319.66–17.0516.79–31.36
Offsides
56%
19%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.481.634.10safe1.32–3.640.53–2.721.85–6.36safer1.01–3.940.25–3.011.26–6.95
Yellow cards
34%
19%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.364.39safe0.98–3.081.23–3.492.21–6.57safer0.72–3.350.94–3.781.66–7.13
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.123.436.55safe1.69–4.561.87–4.993.56–9.55safer1.30–4.951.45–5.412.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.31 0.13–2.57 | 1.37 0.52–2.23 0.29–2.46 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 37% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.09–6.82 2.60–7.31 | 4.62 2.87–6.36 2.41–6.83 | 9.57 5.97–13.18 5.01–14.13 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.11 9.19–17.04 8.10–18.13 | 13.62 10.06–17.18 9.10–18.14 | 26.73 19.24–34.22 17.19–36.27 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.71 5.76–11.65 4.93–12.48 | 8.75 6.07–11.43 5.33–12.17 | 17.46 11.84–23.08 10.27–24.65 | 45% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.68–5.44 1.13–5.99 | 4.24 2.59–5.90 2.10–6.39 | 7.80 4.27–11.34 3.23–12.37 | 33% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 5.10 2.89–7.32 2.32–7.89 | 4.54 2.54–6.54 2.01–7.07 | 9.64 5.43–13.86 4.32–14.96 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 51.90 45.11–58.69 43.44–60.36 | 49.10 42.32–55.89 40.65–57.56 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 512 445–579 427–597 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 970 836–1104 801–1139 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.32 64.29–72.35 63.00–73.64 | 73.93 69.61–78.26 68.30–79.57 | — | 22% 75% |
| Fouls | 10.72 7.88–13.56 7.13–14.31 | 13.36 10.41–16.30 9.66–17.05 | 24.08 18.30–29.86 16.79–31.36 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 2.48 1.32–3.64 1.01–3.94 | 1.63 0.53–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 4.10 1.85–6.36 1.26–6.95 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.72–3.35 | 2.36 1.23–3.49 0.94–3.78 | 4.39 2.21–6.57 1.66–7.13 | 34% 19% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.12 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 3.43 1.87–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 6.55 3.56–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.