UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.322.73safe0.44–2.380.47–2.180.91–4.55safer0.19–2.630.24–2.410.43–5.03
Shots on target
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.194.469.65safe3.32–7.052.72–6.216.04–13.25safer2.83–7.542.25–6.675.09–14.21
Total shots
67%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8012.0826.88safe10.87–18.728.52–15.6519.39–34.37safer9.78–19.817.56–16.6117.34–36.42
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.568.1417.70safe6.62–12.515.46–10.8212.08–23.33safer5.79–13.334.72–11.5610.51–24.89
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.223.247.46safe2.34–6.101.59–4.893.93–11.00safer1.80–6.651.10–5.392.89–12.03
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.433.969.39safe3.22–7.651.96–5.965.18–13.60safer2.65–8.221.42–6.494.07–14.71
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.4745.24safe47.68–61.2638.45–52.02safer46.01–62.9336.78–53.70
Passes
84%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5764541030safe508–643387–520896–1163safer490–661370–538860–1199
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction72.1672.39safe68.13–76.1968.07–76.72safer66.83–77.4866.76–78.03
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4611.8622.32safe7.62–13.308.91–14.8016.54–28.10safer6.87–14.058.17–15.5515.03–29.61
Offsides
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.803.25safe0.29–2.610.71–2.891.00–5.51safer0.00–2.920.42–3.180.41–6.10
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.133.74safe0.56–2.661.00–3.261.57–5.92safer0.30–2.930.71–3.551.01–6.48
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
32%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.013.686.69safe1.57–4.452.12–5.243.70–9.68safer1.19–4.831.70–5.662.88–10.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.38 0.19–2.63 | 1.32 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.41 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.19 3.32–7.05 2.83–7.54 | 4.46 2.72–6.21 2.25–6.67 | 9.65 6.04–13.25 5.09–14.21 | 53% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.80 10.87–18.72 9.78–19.81 | 12.08 8.52–15.65 7.56–16.61 | 26.88 19.39–34.37 17.34–36.42 | 67% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.56 6.62–12.51 5.79–13.33 | 8.14 5.46–10.82 4.72–11.56 | 17.70 12.08–23.33 10.51–24.89 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.22 2.34–6.10 1.80–6.65 | 3.24 1.59–4.89 1.10–5.39 | 7.46 3.93–11.00 2.89–12.03 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.22–7.65 2.65–8.22 | 3.96 1.96–5.96 1.42–6.49 | 9.39 5.18–13.60 4.07–14.71 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 54.47 47.68–61.26 46.01–62.93 | 45.24 38.45–52.02 36.78–53.70 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 576 508–643 490–661 | 454 387–520 370–538 | 1030 896–1163 860–1199 | 84% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.16 68.13–76.19 66.83–77.48 | 72.39 68.07–76.72 66.76–78.03 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 10.46 7.62–13.30 6.87–14.05 | 11.86 8.91–14.80 8.17–15.55 | 22.32 16.54–28.10 15.03–29.61 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.92 | 1.80 0.71–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.74 1.57–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.01 1.57–4.45 1.19–4.83 | 3.68 2.12–5.24 1.70–5.66 | 6.69 3.70–9.68 2.88–10.49 | 32% 15% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+