UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
17%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.062.473.53safe0.09–2.031.61–3.321.70–5.35safer0.00–2.281.38–3.551.22–5.83
Shots on target
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.756.169.92safe1.89–5.614.42–7.916.31–13.52safer1.40–6.103.96–8.375.36–14.48
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8915.5327.42safe7.97–15.8111.97–19.0919.94–34.91safer6.87–16.9111.01–20.0517.88–36.96
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3910.6617.05safe3.45–9.337.98–13.3411.43–22.68safer2.62–10.167.24–14.089.86–24.24
Blocked shots
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.074.637.71safe1.19–4.952.98–6.294.17–11.24safer0.64–5.502.49–6.783.13–12.28
Corners
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.725.889.61safe1.51–5.943.88–7.885.39–13.82safer0.94–6.513.35–8.424.29–14.93
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.2858.89safe35.49–49.0752.11–65.68safer33.82–50.7450.44–67.35
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction408545953safe341–476478–611819–1087safer323–494461–629784–1122
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction69.0381.18safe65.00–73.0676.85–85.50safer63.71–74.3575.55–86.81
Fouls
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1911.0924.28safe10.36–16.038.15–14.0418.50–30.07safer9.60–16.797.40–14.7817.00–31.57
Offsides
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.823.21safe0.23–2.550.73–2.920.96–5.46safer0.00–2.850.44–3.210.37–6.05
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.993.91safe0.88–2.980.86–3.111.74–6.09safer0.61–3.240.57–3.411.18–6.65
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
65%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.072.546.61safe2.63–5.500.98–4.103.62–9.60safer2.24–5.890.56–4.522.81–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 2.47 1.61–3.32 1.38–3.55 | 3.53 1.70–5.35 1.22–5.83 | 14% 17% 68% |
| Shots on target | 3.75 1.89–5.61 1.40–6.10 | 6.16 4.42–7.91 3.96–8.37 | 9.92 6.31–13.52 5.36–14.48 | 17% 73% |
| Total shots | 11.89 7.97–15.81 6.87–16.91 | 15.53 11.97–19.09 11.01–20.05 | 27.42 19.94–34.91 17.88–36.96 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 6.39 3.45–9.33 2.62–10.16 | 10.66 7.98–13.34 7.24–14.08 | 17.05 11.43–22.68 9.86–24.24 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.19–4.95 0.64–5.50 | 4.63 2.98–6.29 2.49–6.78 | 7.71 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.28 | 23% 65% |
| Corners | 3.72 1.51–5.94 0.94–6.51 | 5.88 3.88–7.88 3.35–8.42 | 9.61 5.39–13.82 4.29–14.93 | 19% 70% |
| Possession % | 42.28 35.49–49.07 33.82–50.74 | 58.89 52.11–65.68 50.44–67.35 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 408 341–476 323–494 | 545 478–611 461–629 | 953 819–1087 784–1122 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.03 65.00–73.06 63.71–74.35 | 81.18 76.85–85.50 75.55–86.81 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 13.19 10.36–16.03 9.60–16.79 | 11.09 8.15–14.04 7.40–14.78 | 24.28 18.50–30.07 17.00–31.57 | 63% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.85 | 1.82 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.21 | 3.21 0.96–5.46 0.37–6.05 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.24 | 1.99 0.86–3.11 0.57–3.41 | 3.91 1.74–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.07 2.63–5.50 2.24–5.89 | 2.54 0.98–4.10 0.56–4.52 | 6.61 3.62–9.60 2.81–10.41 | 65% 13% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+