UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
28%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.052.36safe0.34–2.280.19–1.900.54–4.18safer0.09–2.530.00–2.130.06–4.66
Shots on target
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.783.798.57safe2.92–6.642.05–5.534.97–12.18safer2.43–7.131.58–6.004.01–13.13
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7511.2025.95safe10.82–18.677.64–14.7618.46–33.43safer9.73–19.766.68–15.7216.41–35.49
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.377.5116.88safe6.42–12.314.83–10.1911.25–22.50safer5.60–13.144.09–10.939.69–24.07
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.923.177.09safe2.04–5.801.51–4.823.55–10.62safer1.50–6.351.02–5.312.52–11.66
Corners
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.153.959.11safe2.94–7.371.95–5.954.89–13.32safer2.37–7.941.42–6.493.79–14.43
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.3646.30safe46.57–60.1539.52–53.09safer44.90–61.8237.85–54.76
Passes
72%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction497426923safe430–565360–492790–1057safer412–583342–510754–1093
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction73.5176.99safe69.48–77.5472.67–81.32safer68.18–78.8371.36–82.63
Fouls
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4611.4123.87safe9.62–15.308.46–14.3518.09–29.65safer8.87–16.067.71–15.1016.58–31.16
Offsides
38%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.593.17safe0.41–2.730.50–2.680.91–5.42safer0.11–3.040.21–2.970.32–6.01
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.933.85safe0.88–2.980.80–3.051.68–6.03safer0.61–3.240.50–3.351.12–6.59
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
27%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.543.506.04safe1.11–3.981.94–5.063.05–9.04safer0.72–4.371.52–5.482.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.05 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.36 0.54–4.18 0.06–4.66 | 43% 28% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.78 2.92–6.64 2.43–7.13 | 3.79 2.05–5.53 1.58–6.00 | 8.57 4.97–12.18 4.01–13.13 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.75 10.82–18.67 9.73–19.76 | 11.20 7.64–14.76 6.68–15.72 | 25.95 18.46–33.43 16.41–35.49 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.37 6.42–12.31 5.60–13.14 | 7.51 4.83–10.19 4.09–10.93 | 16.88 11.25–22.50 9.69–24.07 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.04–5.80 1.50–6.35 | 3.17 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.94–7.37 2.37–7.94 | 3.95 1.95–5.95 1.42–6.49 | 9.11 4.89–13.32 3.79–14.43 | 59% 28% |
| Possession % | 53.36 46.57–60.15 44.90–61.82 | 46.30 39.52–53.09 37.85–54.76 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 497 430–565 412–583 | 426 360–492 342–510 | 923 790–1057 754–1093 | 72% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.51 69.48–77.54 68.18–78.83 | 76.99 72.67–81.32 71.36–82.63 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 12.46 9.62–15.30 8.87–16.06 | 11.41 8.46–14.35 7.71–15.10 | 23.87 18.09–29.65 16.58–31.16 | 54% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.04 | 1.59 0.50–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 3.17 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 38% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.24 | 1.93 0.80–3.05 0.50–3.35 | 3.85 1.68–6.03 1.12–6.59 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.11–3.98 0.72–4.37 | 3.50 1.94–5.06 1.52–5.48 | 6.04 3.05–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 27% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.