UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 3·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
22%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction0.901.872.77safe0.00–1.871.02–2.730.95–4.60safer0.00–2.120.79–2.960.47–5.08
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.106.179.27safe1.24–4.964.43–7.925.67–12.88safer0.75–5.453.96–8.384.71–13.84
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7816.9626.74safe5.85–13.7013.40–20.5219.25–34.22safer4.76–14.7912.44–21.4817.20–36.28
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.4811.1116.59safe2.54–8.428.43–13.7910.97–22.21safer1.71–9.257.69–14.539.40–23.78
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.554.446.99safe0.67–4.432.79–6.093.46–10.53safer0.12–4.982.30–6.592.42–11.56
Corners
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.365.859.21safe1.15–5.583.85–7.854.99–13.42safer0.58–6.153.31–8.383.89–14.53
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction41.1059.33safe34.31–47.8952.55–66.12safer32.64–49.5650.88–67.79
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction411569980safe344–478502–635846–1114safer326–497485–653811–1149
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction65.7279.60safe61.69–69.7575.28–83.92safer60.40–71.0573.97–85.23
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7713.3625.13safe8.93–14.6110.42–16.3119.35–30.92safer8.18–15.369.67–17.0617.85–32.42
Offsides
28%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.233.86safe0.47–2.791.14–3.321.61–6.11safer0.17–3.090.85–3.611.02–6.70
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.214.20safe0.95–3.051.08–3.332.02–6.38safer0.68–3.310.78–3.631.47–6.94
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
67%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.912.306.21safe2.48–5.350.74–3.863.22–9.20safer2.09–5.740.32–4.282.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.90 0.00–1.87 0.00–2.12 | 1.87 1.02–2.73 0.79–2.96 | 2.77 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 18% 22% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.10 1.24–4.96 0.75–5.45 | 6.17 4.43–7.92 3.96–8.38 | 9.27 5.67–12.88 4.71–13.84 | 80% |
| Total shots | 9.78 5.85–13.70 4.76–14.79 | 16.96 13.40–20.52 12.44–21.48 | 26.74 19.25–34.22 17.20–36.28 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 5.48 2.54–8.42 1.71–9.25 | 11.11 8.43–13.79 7.69–14.53 | 16.59 10.97–22.21 9.40–23.78 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 2.55 0.67–4.43 0.12–4.98 | 4.44 2.79–6.09 2.30–6.59 | 6.99 3.46–10.53 2.42–11.56 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 3.36 1.15–5.58 0.58–6.15 | 5.85 3.85–7.85 3.31–8.38 | 9.21 4.99–13.42 3.89–14.53 | 16% 74% |
| Possession % | 41.10 34.31–47.89 32.64–49.56 | 59.33 52.55–66.12 50.88–67.79 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 411 344–478 326–497 | 569 502–635 485–653 | 980 846–1114 811–1149 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.72 61.69–69.75 60.40–71.05 | 79.60 75.28–83.92 73.97–85.23 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.77 8.93–14.61 8.18–15.36 | 13.36 10.42–16.31 9.67–17.06 | 25.13 19.35–30.92 17.85–32.42 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 2.23 1.14–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 3.86 1.61–6.11 1.02–6.70 | 28% 20% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.68–3.31 | 2.21 1.08–3.33 0.78–3.63 | 4.20 2.02–6.38 1.47–6.94 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.91 2.48–5.35 2.09–5.74 | 2.30 0.74–3.86 0.32–4.28 | 6.21 3.22–9.20 2.41–10.02 | 67% 13% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.