UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.682.76safe0.12–2.060.82–2.530.94–4.59safer0.00–2.310.59–2.760.46–5.07
Shots on target
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.384.998.38safe1.52–5.253.25–6.744.77–11.98safer1.03–5.732.79–7.203.82–12.94
Total shots
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4814.1923.66safe5.55–13.4010.62–17.7516.18–31.15safer4.46–14.499.66–18.7114.12–33.20
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction6.089.5715.66safe3.14–9.026.89–12.2610.03–21.28safer2.31–9.856.16–12.998.47–22.85
Blocked shots
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.494.006.49safe0.61–4.372.34–5.652.95–10.02safer0.06–4.921.85–6.141.92–11.06
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.745.198.93safe1.53–5.963.19–7.194.72–13.14safer0.95–6.532.65–7.723.61–14.25
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction43.6757.06safe36.88–50.4750.27–63.84safer35.21–52.1348.60–65.51
Passes
23%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction417503920safe349–484437–570786–1053safer331–502419–587750–1089
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction62.6975.43safe58.66–66.7271.11–79.76safer57.36–68.0169.80–81.07
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6814.4426.13safe8.84–14.5211.50–17.3920.35–31.91safer8.09–15.2810.75–18.1418.84–33.41
Offsides
62%
16%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.045.29safe2.09–4.410.95–3.143.04–7.54safer1.79–4.710.66–3.432.45–8.13
Yellow cards
34%
19%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.052.414.46safe1.00–3.101.28–3.542.28–6.64safer0.73–3.360.99–3.831.72–7.20
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
56%
16%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.272.375.64safe1.83–4.710.82–3.932.65–8.63safer1.45–5.090.39–4.351.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.68 0.82–2.53 0.59–2.76 | 2.76 0.94–4.59 0.46–5.07 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.38 1.52–5.25 1.03–5.73 | 4.99 3.25–6.74 2.79–7.20 | 8.38 4.77–11.98 3.82–12.94 | 23% 65% |
| Total shots | 9.48 5.55–13.40 4.46–14.49 | 14.19 10.62–17.75 9.66–18.71 | 23.66 16.18–31.15 14.12–33.20 | 14% 81% |
| Shots in box | 6.08 3.14–9.02 2.31–9.85 | 9.57 6.89–12.26 6.16–12.99 | 15.66 10.03–21.28 8.47–22.85 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 2.49 0.61–4.37 0.06–4.92 | 4.00 2.34–5.65 1.85–6.14 | 6.49 2.95–10.02 1.92–11.06 | 21% 14% 65% |
| Corners | 3.74 1.53–5.96 0.95–6.53 | 5.19 3.19–7.19 2.65–7.72 | 8.93 4.72–13.14 3.61–14.25 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 43.67 36.88–50.47 35.21–52.13 | 57.06 50.27–63.84 48.60–65.51 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 417 349–484 331–502 | 503 437–570 419–587 | 920 786–1053 750–1089 | 23% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.69 58.66–66.72 57.36–68.01 | 75.43 71.11–79.76 69.80–81.07 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 11.68 8.84–14.52 8.09–15.28 | 14.44 11.50–17.39 10.75–18.14 | 26.13 20.35–31.91 18.84–33.41 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 3.25 2.09–4.41 1.79–4.71 | 2.04 0.95–3.14 0.66–3.43 | 5.29 3.04–7.54 2.45–8.13 | 62% 16% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.36 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.46 2.28–6.64 1.72–7.20 | 34% 19% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.71 1.45–5.09 | 2.37 0.82–3.93 0.39–4.35 | 5.64 2.65–8.63 1.84–9.45 | 56% 16% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+