UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.482.72safe0.27–2.200.63–2.340.90–4.54safer0.02–2.460.40–2.560.42–5.02
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.125.169.27safe2.26–5.983.41–6.905.67–12.88safer1.77–6.472.95–7.364.71–13.83
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3513.9225.28safe7.43–15.2810.36–17.4917.79–32.76safer6.34–16.379.40–18.4415.74–34.81
Shots in box
35%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction7.248.2215.46safe4.30–10.195.54–10.909.84–21.09safer3.47–11.014.80–11.648.27–22.65
Blocked shots
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.766.64safe1.00–4.772.10–5.413.11–10.18safer0.46–5.311.61–5.902.07–11.21
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.205.069.26safe1.98–6.413.06–7.065.05–13.47safer1.41–6.992.53–7.603.94–14.58
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.4454.54safe38.65–52.2347.76–61.33safer36.98–53.9046.09–63.00
Passes
32%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction441497937safe373–508430–563804–1071safer355–526413–581768–1107
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction69.2179.49safe65.18–73.2475.17–83.82safer63.89–74.5473.86–85.13
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1912.5125.70safe10.35–16.039.56–15.4519.92–31.48safer9.60–16.798.82–16.2018.41–32.99
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.843.84safe0.84–3.160.75–2.941.59–6.10safer0.54–3.460.46–3.221.00–6.68
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.723.65safe0.88–2.980.59–2.851.47–5.83safer0.62–3.250.30–3.140.92–6.39
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.716.07safe1.93–4.801.15–4.263.08–9.07safer1.54–5.190.73–4.692.27–9.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.20 0.02–2.46 | 1.48 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.56 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.12 2.26–5.98 1.77–6.47 | 5.16 3.41–6.90 2.95–7.36 | 9.27 5.67–12.88 4.71–13.83 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.35 7.43–15.28 6.34–16.37 | 13.92 10.36–17.49 9.40–18.44 | 25.28 17.79–32.76 15.74–34.81 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 7.24 4.30–10.19 3.47–11.01 | 8.22 5.54–10.90 4.80–11.64 | 15.46 9.84–21.09 8.27–22.65 | 35% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 2.88 1.00–4.77 0.46–5.31 | 3.76 2.10–5.41 1.61–5.90 | 6.64 3.11–10.18 2.07–11.21 | 29% 15% 56% |
| Corners | 4.20 1.98–6.41 1.41–6.99 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.60 | 9.26 5.05–13.47 3.94–14.58 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 45.44 38.65–52.23 36.98–53.90 | 54.54 47.76–61.33 46.09–63.00 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 441 373–508 355–526 | 497 430–563 413–581 | 937 804–1071 768–1107 | 32% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.21 65.18–73.24 63.89–74.54 | 79.49 75.17–83.82 73.86–85.13 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 13.19 10.35–16.03 9.60–16.79 | 12.51 9.56–15.45 8.82–16.20 | 25.70 19.92–31.48 18.41–32.99 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 1.84 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.22 | 3.84 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.68 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.62–3.25 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 2.71 1.15–4.26 0.73–4.69 | 6.07 3.08–9.07 2.27–9.88 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+