UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.582.60safe0.05–1.980.73–2.430.77–4.42safer0.00–2.230.50–2.660.29–4.90
Shots on target
41%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.964.068.03safe2.10–5.832.32–5.814.42–11.63safer1.61–6.311.85–6.273.46–12.59
Total shots
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5311.1222.65safe7.61–15.467.56–14.6915.17–30.14safer6.52–16.556.60–15.6413.12–32.19
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction7.057.7614.81safe4.11–9.995.08–10.449.19–20.44safer3.28–10.824.34–11.187.62–22.00
Blocked shots
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.972.925.88safe1.08–4.851.26–4.572.35–9.42safer0.54–5.390.77–5.061.31–10.45
Corners
47%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.494.228.71safe2.28–6.702.22–6.224.50–12.92safer1.70–7.281.69–6.753.39–14.03
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction42.4656.97safe35.67–49.2550.18–63.75safer34.00–50.9248.51–65.42
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction385529914safe318–452463–595781–1048safer300–471445–613745–1084
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction75.8684.74safe71.83–79.8980.42–89.07safer70.54–81.1879.11–90.37
Fouls
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4910.3723.86safe10.65–16.337.43–13.3218.08–29.64safer9.90–17.096.68–14.0616.58–31.15
Offsides
45%
19%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.542.274.81safe1.38–3.701.18–3.372.56–7.07safer1.08–4.000.89–3.651.97–7.65
Yellow cards
42%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.352.274.62safe1.30–3.401.14–3.402.44–6.80safer1.03–3.670.85–3.691.88–7.36
Red cards
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.110.28safe0.00–0.320.00–0.300.00–0.62safer0.00–0.470.00–0.430.00–0.91
GK saves
36%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.552.855.40safe1.12–3.991.29–4.412.41–8.40safer0.73–4.380.87–4.831.60–9.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.05–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 1.58 0.73–2.43 0.50–2.66 | 2.60 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 24% 25% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.96 2.10–5.83 1.61–6.31 | 4.06 2.32–5.81 1.85–6.27 | 8.03 4.42–11.63 3.46–12.59 | 41% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 11.53 7.61–15.46 6.52–16.55 | 11.12 7.56–14.69 6.60–15.64 | 22.65 15.17–30.14 13.12–32.19 | 49% 42% |
| Shots in box | 7.05 4.11–9.99 3.28–10.82 | 7.76 5.08–10.44 4.34–11.18 | 14.81 9.19–20.44 7.62–22.00 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.08–4.85 0.54–5.39 | 2.92 1.26–4.57 0.77–5.06 | 5.88 2.35–9.42 1.31–10.45 | 42% 17% 41% |
| Corners | 4.49 2.28–6.70 1.70–7.28 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.75 | 8.71 4.50–12.92 3.39–14.03 | 47% 14% 40% |
| Possession % | 42.46 35.67–49.25 34.00–50.92 | 56.97 50.18–63.75 48.51–65.42 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 385 318–452 300–471 | 529 463–595 445–613 | 914 781–1048 745–1084 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.86 71.83–79.89 70.54–81.18 | 84.74 80.42–89.07 79.11–90.37 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 13.49 10.65–16.33 9.90–17.09 | 10.37 7.43–13.32 6.68–14.06 | 23.86 18.08–29.64 16.58–31.15 | 70% 23% |
| Offsides | 2.54 1.38–3.70 1.08–4.00 | 2.27 1.18–3.37 0.89–3.65 | 4.81 2.56–7.07 1.97–7.65 | 45% 19% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.35 1.30–3.40 1.03–3.67 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 4.62 2.44–6.80 1.88–7.36 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.28 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.91 | 14% 77% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 2.85 1.29–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 5.40 2.41–8.40 1.60–9.21 | 36% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.