UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 3·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.960.912.86safe0.99–2.920.05–1.761.04–4.68safer0.74–3.180.00–1.990.56–5.16
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.092.989.07safe4.23–7.961.24–4.725.47–12.68safer3.74–8.440.77–5.194.51–13.63
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.028.4326.45safe14.09–21.944.86–11.9918.96–33.93safer13.00–23.033.91–12.9516.91–35.98
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.415.7017.12safe8.47–14.363.02–8.3811.49–22.74safer7.64–15.182.29–9.129.93–24.31
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.572.026.59safe2.69–6.450.36–3.673.05–10.13safer2.15–7.000.00–4.162.02–11.16
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.373.7210.09safe4.16–8.591.72–5.725.88–14.30safer3.59–9.161.18–6.254.77–15.41
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.2045.43safe47.41–60.9938.65–52.22safer45.74–62.6636.98–53.89
Passes
71%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction468400868safe401–536334–466735–1002safer383–554316–484699–1038
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction77.7577.39safe73.72–81.7873.06–81.71safer72.43–83.0771.76–83.02
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3211.9125.23safe10.48–16.158.96–14.8519.44–31.01safer9.72–16.918.22–15.6017.94–32.51
Offsides
32%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.183.98safe0.64–2.961.09–3.271.73–6.24safer0.34–3.260.80–3.561.14–6.83
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.163.82safe0.62–2.711.03–3.291.65–6.00safer0.35–2.980.74–3.581.09–6.56
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.084.166.25safe0.65–3.522.61–5.723.25–9.24safer0.26–3.912.18–6.142.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 0.99–2.92 0.74–3.18 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.09 4.23–7.96 3.74–8.44 | 2.98 1.24–4.72 0.77–5.19 | 9.07 5.47–12.68 4.51–13.63 | 81% |
| Total shots | 18.02 14.09–21.94 13.00–23.03 | 8.43 4.86–11.99 3.91–12.95 | 26.45 18.96–33.93 16.91–35.98 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 11.41 8.47–14.36 7.64–15.18 | 5.70 3.02–8.38 2.29–9.12 | 17.12 11.49–22.74 9.93–24.31 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.57 2.69–6.45 2.15–7.00 | 2.02 0.36–3.67 0.00–4.16 | 6.59 3.05–10.13 2.02–11.16 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.37 4.16–8.59 3.59–9.16 | 3.72 1.72–5.72 1.18–6.25 | 10.09 5.88–14.30 4.77–15.41 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 54.20 47.41–60.99 45.74–62.66 | 45.43 38.65–52.22 36.98–53.89 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 468 401–536 383–554 | 400 334–466 316–484 | 868 735–1002 699–1038 | 71% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.75 73.72–81.78 72.43–83.07 | 77.39 73.06–81.71 71.76–83.02 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 13.32 10.48–16.15 9.72–16.91 | 11.91 8.96–14.85 8.22–15.60 | 25.23 19.44–31.01 17.94–32.51 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 2.18 1.09–3.27 0.80–3.56 | 3.98 1.73–6.24 1.14–6.83 | 32% 20% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.82 1.65–6.00 1.09–6.56 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.08 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 4.16 2.61–5.72 2.18–6.14 | 6.25 3.25–9.24 2.44–10.05 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.