UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.432.99safe0.59–2.520.58–2.291.17–4.81safer0.34–2.780.35–2.510.69–5.29
Shots on target
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.064.329.39safe3.20–6.932.58–6.075.78–12.99safer2.71–7.412.12–6.534.83–13.95
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5213.5029.02safe11.60–19.459.93–17.0621.53–36.50safer10.50–20.548.97–18.0219.48–38.55
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.868.6918.55safe6.92–12.806.01–11.3712.93–24.18safer6.09–13.635.27–12.1111.36–25.74
Blocked shots
55%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.083.217.29safe2.20–5.961.56–4.873.76–10.83safer1.65–6.501.07–5.362.72–11.86
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.4310.32safe3.68–8.112.42–6.436.10–14.53safer3.11–8.681.89–6.965.00–15.64
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction51.7747.12safe44.98–58.5640.33–53.90safer43.31–60.2338.66–55.57
Passes
63%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction433391824safe365–500325–458690–958safer347–518307–475655–993
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction70.1371.05safe66.10–74.1666.73–75.37safer64.81–75.4565.42–76.68
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9713.3325.30safe9.14–14.8110.39–16.2819.52–31.09safer8.38–15.579.64–17.0218.02–32.59
Offsides
23%
18%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.634.29safe0.50–2.821.54–3.732.04–6.55safer0.20–3.121.25–4.011.45–7.14
Yellow cards
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.484.55safe1.02–3.121.35–3.612.37–6.73safer0.75–3.381.06–3.901.81–7.29
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.386.35safe1.53–4.401.83–4.943.36–9.34safer1.14–4.791.40–5.362.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.52 0.34–2.78 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.51 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.06 3.20–6.93 2.71–7.41 | 4.32 2.58–6.07 2.12–6.53 | 9.39 5.78–12.99 4.83–13.95 | 53% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.52 11.60–19.45 10.50–20.54 | 13.50 9.93–17.06 8.97–18.02 | 29.02 21.53–36.50 19.48–38.55 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.86 6.92–12.80 6.09–13.63 | 8.69 6.01–11.37 5.27–12.11 | 18.55 12.93–24.18 11.36–25.74 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 3.21 1.56–4.87 1.07–5.36 | 7.29 3.76–10.83 2.72–11.86 | 55% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.68–8.11 3.11–8.68 | 4.43 2.42–6.43 1.89–6.96 | 10.32 6.10–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 51.77 44.98–58.56 43.31–60.23 | 47.12 40.33–53.90 38.66–55.57 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 433 365–500 347–518 | 391 325–458 307–475 | 824 690–958 655–993 | 63% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.13 66.10–74.16 64.81–75.45 | 71.05 66.73–75.37 65.42–76.68 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.97 9.14–14.81 8.38–15.57 | 13.33 10.39–16.28 9.64–17.02 | 25.30 19.52–31.09 18.02–32.59 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 2.63 1.54–3.73 1.25–4.01 | 4.29 2.04–6.55 1.45–7.14 | 23% 18% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.12 0.75–3.38 | 2.48 1.35–3.61 1.06–3.90 | 4.55 2.37–6.73 1.81–7.29 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.79 | 3.38 1.83–4.94 1.40–5.36 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.