UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.031.662.69safe0.06–2.000.81–2.520.87–4.52safer0.00–2.250.58–2.740.39–5.00
Shots on target
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.595.128.71safe1.72–5.453.38–6.865.10–12.31safer1.23–5.942.91–7.334.15–13.27
Total shots
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2714.1025.37safe7.34–15.1910.54–17.6717.88–32.86safer6.25–16.289.58–18.6315.83–34.91
Shots in box
23%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction6.649.0315.67safe3.70–9.586.35–11.7110.05–21.29safer2.87–10.415.61–12.458.48–22.86
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.394.347.73safe1.51–5.272.69–6.004.20–11.27safer0.96–5.812.20–6.493.16–12.30
Corners
22%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.156.1110.26safe1.93–6.364.11–8.116.04–14.47safer1.36–6.943.58–8.644.94–15.58
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.3258.53safe34.53–48.1151.75–65.32safer32.86–49.7850.08–66.99
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction402556958safe335–469489–622824–1091safer316–487472–640788–1127
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction74.4980.90safe70.46–78.5276.58–85.23safer69.17–79.8275.27–86.53
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6012.7523.36safe7.77–13.449.81–15.7017.57–29.14safer7.01–14.209.06–16.4516.07–30.64
Offsides
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.803.31safe0.35–2.670.71–2.901.06–5.57safer0.05–2.970.42–3.190.47–6.16
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.053.80safe0.70–2.800.92–3.181.62–5.98safer0.44–3.070.63–3.471.06–6.53
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.422.515.93safe1.99–4.860.95–4.062.94–8.92safer1.60–5.250.53–4.492.13–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.06–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 1.66 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.74 | 2.69 0.87–4.52 0.39–5.00 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.59 1.72–5.45 1.23–5.94 | 5.12 3.38–6.86 2.91–7.33 | 8.71 5.10–12.31 4.15–13.27 | 24% 64% |
| Total shots | 11.27 7.34–15.19 6.25–16.28 | 14.10 10.54–17.67 9.58–18.63 | 25.37 17.88–32.86 15.83–34.91 | 25% 68% |
| Shots in box | 6.64 3.70–9.58 2.87–10.41 | 9.03 6.35–11.71 5.61–12.45 | 15.67 10.05–21.29 8.48–22.86 | 23% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 3.39 1.51–5.27 0.96–5.81 | 4.34 2.69–6.00 2.20–6.49 | 7.73 4.20–11.27 3.16–12.30 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.15 1.93–6.36 1.36–6.94 | 6.11 4.11–8.11 3.58–8.64 | 10.26 6.04–14.47 4.94–15.58 | 22% 68% |
| Possession % | 41.32 34.53–48.11 32.86–49.78 | 58.53 51.75–65.32 50.08–66.99 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 402 335–469 316–487 | 556 489–622 472–640 | 958 824–1091 788–1127 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.49 70.46–78.52 69.17–79.82 | 80.90 76.58–85.23 75.27–86.53 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 10.60 7.77–13.44 7.01–14.20 | 12.75 9.81–15.70 9.06–16.45 | 23.36 17.57–29.14 16.07–30.64 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.80 0.71–2.90 0.42–3.19 | 3.31 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.06–6.53 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.42 1.99–4.86 1.60–5.25 | 2.51 0.95–4.06 0.53–4.49 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.13–9.73 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.