UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.982.012.99safe0.01–1.951.15–2.861.16–4.81safer0.00–2.200.92–3.090.69–5.29
Shots on target
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.395.839.22safe1.53–5.254.09–7.585.62–12.83safer1.04–5.743.62–8.044.66–13.78
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3516.4026.75safe6.43–14.2812.83–19.9619.26–34.24safer5.34–15.3711.88–20.9217.21–36.29
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.919.9015.81safe2.97–8.857.22–12.5810.19–21.43safer2.14–9.686.48–13.328.62–23.00
Blocked shots
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.424.536.95safe0.54–4.302.87–6.183.41–10.48safer0.00–4.842.38–6.672.37–11.52
Corners
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.456.349.78safe1.23–5.664.34–8.345.57–14.00safer0.66–6.233.80–8.874.46–15.10
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction36.8263.18safe30.03–43.6156.40–69.97safer28.36–45.2854.73–71.64
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction340574914safe273–407507–640780–1048safer255–425490–658745–1083
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction76.3784.90safe72.35–80.4080.57–89.22safer71.05–81.7079.26–90.53
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3411.6825.02safe10.50–16.188.73–14.6219.24–30.80safer9.75–16.947.98–15.3717.73–32.30
Offsides
43%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.773.75safe0.82–3.140.68–2.861.49–6.00safer0.52–3.440.39–3.150.90–6.59
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.884.04safe1.11–3.210.76–3.011.87–6.22safer0.84–3.470.46–3.311.31–6.78
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
68%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.922.266.19safe2.49–5.360.71–3.823.20–9.18safer2.10–5.750.28–4.252.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.01–1.95 0.00–2.20 | 2.01 1.15–2.86 0.92–3.09 | 2.99 1.16–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.39 1.53–5.25 1.04–5.74 | 5.83 4.09–7.58 3.62–8.04 | 9.22 5.62–12.83 4.66–13.78 | 16% 74% |
| Total shots | 10.35 6.43–14.28 5.34–15.37 | 16.40 12.83–19.96 11.88–20.92 | 26.75 19.26–34.24 17.21–36.29 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 5.91 2.97–8.85 2.14–9.68 | 9.90 7.22–12.58 6.48–13.32 | 15.81 10.19–21.43 8.62–23.00 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 2.42 0.54–4.30 0.00–4.84 | 4.53 2.87–6.18 2.38–6.67 | 6.95 3.41–10.48 2.37–11.52 | 16% 73% |
| Corners | 3.45 1.23–5.66 0.66–6.23 | 6.34 4.34–8.34 3.80–8.87 | 9.78 5.57–14.00 4.46–15.10 | 14% 78% |
| Possession % | 36.82 30.03–43.61 28.36–45.28 | 63.18 56.40–69.97 54.73–71.64 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 340 273–407 255–425 | 574 507–640 490–658 | 914 780–1048 745–1083 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.37 72.35–80.40 71.05–81.70 | 84.90 80.57–89.22 79.26–90.53 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 13.34 10.50–16.18 9.75–16.94 | 11.68 8.73–14.62 7.98–15.37 | 25.02 19.24–30.80 17.73–32.30 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.77 0.68–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 3.75 1.49–6.00 0.90–6.59 | 43% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.84–3.47 | 1.88 0.76–3.01 0.46–3.31 | 4.04 1.87–6.22 1.31–6.78 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.92 2.49–5.36 2.10–5.75 | 2.26 0.71–3.82 0.28–4.25 | 6.19 3.20–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 68% 13% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+