Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
20%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.172.223.39safe0.20–2.141.36–3.071.56–5.21safer0.00–2.391.13–3.301.08–5.69
Shots on target
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction4.156.3810.53safe2.29–6.014.64–8.126.92–14.13safer1.80–6.504.17–8.595.97–15.09
Total shots
19%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8916.0527.94safe7.97–15.8112.49–19.6120.45–35.43safer6.87–16.9111.53–20.5718.40–37.48
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0410.8817.92safe4.10–9.998.20–13.5612.30–23.55safer3.27–10.827.46–14.3010.73–25.11
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.404.017.40safe1.51–5.282.36–5.663.87–10.94safer0.97–5.821.86–6.152.83–11.98
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.925.929.84safe1.71–6.133.92–7.925.62–14.05safer1.13–6.713.38–8.454.51–15.16
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.7658.15safe34.97–48.5551.37–64.94safer33.30–50.2249.70–66.61
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction374523897safe307–441456–589763–1030safer289–459439–607727–1066
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction73.2380.47safe69.21–77.2676.15–84.80safer67.91–78.5674.84–86.11
Fouls
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1710.8525.02safe11.33–17.017.91–13.8019.24–30.80safer10.57–17.767.16–14.5517.73–32.31
Offsides
28%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.843.16safe0.16–2.480.74–2.930.91–5.41safer0.00–2.790.46–3.220.32–6.00
Yellow cards
45%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.884.05safe1.12–3.220.75–3.011.87–6.23safer0.86–3.490.46–3.301.31–6.78
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.882.826.70safe2.45–5.321.26–4.383.71–9.70safer2.06–5.710.84–4.802.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 2.22 1.36–3.07 1.13–3.30 | 3.39 1.56–5.21 1.08–5.69 | 19% 20% 61% |
| Shots on target | 4.15 2.29–6.01 1.80–6.50 | 6.38 4.64–8.12 4.17–8.59 | 10.53 6.92–14.13 5.97–15.09 | 20% 70% |
| Total shots | 11.89 7.97–15.81 6.87–16.91 | 16.05 12.49–19.61 11.53–20.57 | 27.94 20.45–35.43 18.40–37.48 | 19% 76% |
| Shots in box | 7.04 4.10–9.99 3.27–10.82 | 10.88 8.20–13.56 7.46–14.30 | 17.92 12.30–23.55 10.73–25.11 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 3.40 1.51–5.28 0.97–5.82 | 4.01 2.36–5.66 1.86–6.15 | 7.40 3.87–10.94 2.83–11.98 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 3.92 1.71–6.13 1.13–6.71 | 5.92 3.92–7.92 3.38–8.45 | 9.84 5.62–14.05 4.51–15.16 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 41.76 34.97–48.55 33.30–50.22 | 58.15 51.37–64.94 49.70–66.61 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 374 307–441 289–459 | 523 456–589 439–607 | 897 763–1030 727–1066 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.23 69.21–77.26 67.91–78.56 | 80.47 76.15–84.80 74.84–86.11 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 14.17 11.33–17.01 10.57–17.76 | 10.85 7.91–13.80 7.16–14.55 | 25.02 19.24–30.80 17.73–32.31 | 71% 22% |
| Offsides | 1.32 0.16–2.48 0.00–2.79 | 1.84 0.74–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.16 0.91–5.41 0.32–6.00 | 28% 23% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 4.05 1.87–6.23 1.31–6.78 | 45% 20% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.88 2.45–5.32 2.06–5.71 | 2.82 1.26–4.38 0.84–4.80 | 6.70 3.71–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 58% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.