UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.253.08safe0.86–2.790.40–2.111.26–4.90safer0.61–3.040.17–2.340.78–5.38
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.624.079.69safe3.76–7.482.33–5.826.09–13.30safer3.27–7.971.87–6.285.13–14.25
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2711.5627.83safe12.35–20.208.00–15.1220.35–35.32safer11.26–21.297.04–16.0818.30–37.37
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.247.6817.92safe7.30–13.185.00–10.3612.30–23.54safer6.47–14.014.26–11.1010.73–25.11
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.393.237.62safe2.51–6.271.57–4.884.08–11.15safer1.96–6.821.08–5.373.04–12.19
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.209.86safe3.45–7.882.20–6.205.65–14.07safer2.88–8.451.66–6.734.54–15.18
Possession %
73%
24%
homeawayprediction56.5445.33safe49.75–63.3338.54–52.11safer48.08–65.0036.87–53.78
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction521423944safe453–588357–490810–1078safer435–606339–507774–1113
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction68.3471.81safe64.31–72.3767.48–76.13safer63.02–73.6666.17–77.44
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7911.2822.08safe7.96–13.638.34–14.2316.29–27.86safer7.20–14.397.59–14.9814.79–29.36
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.643.61safe0.82–3.140.54–2.731.36–5.87safer0.51–3.440.26–3.020.77–6.46
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.903.56safe0.61–2.710.77–3.031.38–5.74safer0.35–2.980.48–3.320.82–6.29
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.753.726.48safe1.32–4.192.17–5.283.48–9.47safer0.93–4.581.74–5.702.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.82 0.86–2.79 0.61–3.04 | 1.25 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 3.08 1.26–4.90 0.78–5.38 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.62 3.76–7.48 3.27–7.97 | 4.07 2.33–5.82 1.87–6.28 | 9.69 6.09–13.30 5.13–14.25 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.27 12.35–20.20 11.26–21.29 | 11.56 8.00–15.12 7.04–16.08 | 27.83 20.35–35.32 18.30–37.37 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.24 7.30–13.18 6.47–14.01 | 7.68 5.00–10.36 4.26–11.10 | 17.92 12.30–23.54 10.73–25.11 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.51–6.27 1.96–6.82 | 3.23 1.57–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 7.62 4.08–11.15 3.04–12.19 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.66 3.45–7.88 2.88–8.45 | 4.20 2.20–6.20 1.66–6.73 | 9.86 5.65–14.07 4.54–15.18 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 56.54 49.75–63.33 48.08–65.00 | 45.33 38.54–52.11 36.87–53.78 | — | 73% 24% |
| Passes | 521 453–588 435–606 | 423 357–490 339–507 | 944 810–1078 774–1113 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.34 64.31–72.37 63.02–73.66 | 71.81 67.48–76.13 66.17–77.44 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 10.79 7.96–13.63 7.20–14.39 | 11.28 8.34–14.23 7.59–14.98 | 22.08 16.29–27.86 14.79–29.36 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.51–3.44 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.61 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.46 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.82–6.29 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.72 2.17–5.28 1.74–5.70 | 6.48 3.48–9.47 2.67–10.28 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.