UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.052.88safe0.87–2.800.19–1.901.06–4.70safer0.62–3.050.00–2.130.58–5.18
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.203.759.95safe4.34–8.062.01–5.496.34–13.55safer3.85–8.551.54–5.965.39–14.51
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction19.1511.2430.39safe15.22–23.077.68–14.8022.90–37.88safer14.13–24.166.72–15.7620.85–39.93
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.867.4318.29safe7.92–13.804.75–10.1112.66–23.91safer7.09–14.634.01–10.8411.10–25.48
Blocked shots
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.083.088.17safe3.20–6.961.43–4.744.63–11.70safer2.66–7.510.94–5.233.60–12.74
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.654.0810.74safe4.44–8.872.08–6.086.52–14.95safer3.87–9.441.55–6.615.41–16.06
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction58.2243.26safe51.43–65.0136.48–50.05safer49.76–66.6834.81–51.72
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction536381917safe469–604314–447783–1051safer451–622297–465748–1086
Pass accuracy %
43%
51%
homeawayprediction68.2669.05safe64.23–72.2964.72–73.37safer62.94–73.5963.41–74.68
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7511.6424.38safe9.91–15.588.69–14.5818.60–30.17safer9.15–16.347.94–15.3317.10–31.67
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.863.48safe0.46–2.780.77–2.961.23–5.73safer0.15–3.080.48–3.240.64–6.32
Yellow cards
31%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.853.34safe0.44–2.540.72–2.981.16–5.52safer0.17–2.800.43–3.270.61–6.08
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.624.106.72safe1.19–4.062.54–5.653.73–9.71safer0.80–4.452.12–6.082.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.87–2.80 0.62–3.05 | 1.05 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.88 1.06–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.20 4.34–8.06 3.85–8.55 | 3.75 2.01–5.49 1.54–5.96 | 9.95 6.34–13.55 5.39–14.51 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 19.15 15.22–23.07 14.13–24.16 | 11.24 7.68–14.80 6.72–15.76 | 30.39 22.90–37.88 20.85–39.93 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 10.86 7.92–13.80 7.09–14.63 | 7.43 4.75–10.11 4.01–10.84 | 18.29 12.66–23.91 11.10–25.48 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 5.08 3.20–6.96 2.66–7.51 | 3.08 1.43–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 8.17 4.63–11.70 3.60–12.74 | 70% 19% |
| Corners | 6.65 4.44–8.87 3.87–9.44 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.55–6.61 | 10.74 6.52–14.95 5.41–16.06 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 58.22 51.43–65.01 49.76–66.68 | 43.26 36.48–50.05 34.81–51.72 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 536 469–604 451–622 | 381 314–447 297–465 | 917 783–1051 748–1086 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.26 64.23–72.29 62.94–73.59 | 69.05 64.72–73.37 63.41–74.68 | — | 43% 51% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.91–15.58 9.15–16.34 | 11.64 8.69–14.58 7.94–15.33 | 24.38 18.60–30.17 17.10–31.67 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.15–3.08 | 1.86 0.77–2.96 0.48–3.24 | 3.48 1.23–5.73 0.64–6.32 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.17–2.80 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.34 1.16–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 31% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 4.10 2.54–5.65 2.12–6.08 | 6.72 3.73–9.71 2.92–10.53 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.