UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 4·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.312.75safe0.48–2.410.46–2.160.93–4.58safer0.23–2.660.23–2.390.45–5.06
Shots on target
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.954.319.26safe3.09–6.822.57–6.055.66–12.87safer2.60–7.312.10–6.524.70–13.83
Total shots
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9811.7525.73safe10.05–17.908.18–15.3118.24–33.21safer8.96–19.007.22–16.2716.19–35.26
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.688.2517.93safe6.74–12.625.57–10.9312.30–23.55safer5.91–13.454.83–11.6710.74–25.12
Blocked shots
48%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.053.647.69safe2.16–5.931.99–5.294.15–11.22safer1.62–6.471.50–5.793.12–12.26
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.484.479.95safe3.27–7.692.47–6.475.73–14.16safer2.69–8.271.93–7.004.63–15.27
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction53.2049.01safe46.41–59.9942.23–55.80safer44.74–61.6640.56–57.47
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction463417880safe396–530350–483746–1013safer378–548333–501710–1049
Pass accuracy %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction68.7871.36safe64.75–72.8167.04–75.69safer63.46–74.1065.73–76.99
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1613.9625.11safe8.32–13.9911.01–16.9019.33–30.90safer7.56–14.7510.26–17.6517.83–32.40
Offsides
58%
19%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.521.584.10safe1.36–3.680.49–2.671.84–6.35safer1.05–3.980.20–2.961.25–6.94
Yellow cards
31%
18%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.644.73safe1.04–3.131.52–3.772.55–6.91safer0.77–3.401.22–4.061.99–7.47
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.753.466.22safe1.32–4.191.91–5.023.22–9.21safer0.93–4.581.48–5.442.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.41 0.23–2.66 | 1.31 0.46–2.16 0.23–2.39 | 2.75 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 40% 25% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.09–6.82 2.60–7.31 | 4.31 2.57–6.05 2.10–6.52 | 9.26 5.66–12.87 4.70–13.83 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total shots | 13.98 10.05–17.90 8.96–19.00 | 11.75 8.18–15.31 7.22–16.27 | 25.73 18.24–33.21 16.19–35.26 | 63% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.68 6.74–12.62 5.91–13.45 | 8.25 5.57–10.93 4.83–11.67 | 17.93 12.30–23.55 10.74–25.12 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.16–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 3.64 1.99–5.29 1.50–5.79 | 7.69 4.15–11.22 3.12–12.26 | 48% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.27–7.69 2.69–8.27 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.93–7.00 | 9.95 5.73–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 53.20 46.41–59.99 44.74–61.66 | 49.01 42.23–55.80 40.56–57.47 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 463 396–530 378–548 | 417 350–483 333–501 | 880 746–1013 710–1049 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.78 64.75–72.81 63.46–74.10 | 71.36 67.04–75.69 65.73–76.99 | — | 35% 61% |
| Fouls | 11.16 8.32–13.99 7.56–14.75 | 13.96 11.01–16.90 10.26–17.65 | 25.11 19.33–30.90 17.83–32.40 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 2.52 1.36–3.68 1.05–3.98 | 1.58 0.49–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 4.10 1.84–6.35 1.25–6.94 | 58% 19% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.13 0.77–3.40 | 2.64 1.52–3.77 1.22–4.06 | 4.73 2.55–6.91 1.99–7.47 | 31% 18% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.46 1.91–5.02 1.48–5.44 | 6.22 3.22–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.