UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.830.952.78safe0.86–2.800.10–1.810.96–4.61safer0.61–3.050.00–2.040.48–5.09
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.033.329.36safe4.17–7.901.58–5.065.75–12.96safer3.68–8.391.11–5.534.80–13.92
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.439.0027.44safe14.51–22.365.44–12.5619.95–34.92safer13.42–23.454.48–13.5217.90–36.97
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.005.7117.71safe9.05–14.943.03–8.4012.09–23.34safer8.23–15.772.30–9.1310.52–24.90
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.192.277.46safe3.31–7.070.62–3.933.93–11.00safer2.76–7.610.13–4.422.89–12.03
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.693.319.99safe4.47–8.901.31–5.315.78–14.21safer3.90–9.480.77–5.844.67–15.32
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction61.4140.25safe54.62–68.2033.47–47.04safer52.95–69.8731.80–48.71
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction554379933safe487–621313–446799–1067safer469–639295–463764–1102
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction78.4673.86safe74.43–82.4969.54–78.19safer73.14–83.7868.23–79.50
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3811.5623.94safe9.55–15.228.62–14.5018.16–29.73safer8.79–15.987.87–15.2516.66–31.23
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.543.30safe0.60–2.920.45–2.631.05–5.55safer0.30–3.220.16–2.920.46–6.14
Yellow cards
31%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.173.87safe0.65–2.751.04–3.301.69–6.05safer0.39–3.020.75–3.591.14–6.61
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.213.775.98safe0.77–3.642.21–5.332.98–8.97safer0.38–4.031.79–5.752.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 0.95 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.78 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.03 4.17–7.90 3.68–8.39 | 3.32 1.58–5.06 1.11–5.53 | 9.36 5.75–12.96 4.80–13.92 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 18.43 14.51–22.36 13.42–23.45 | 9.00 5.44–12.56 4.48–13.52 | 27.44 19.95–34.92 17.90–36.97 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.00 9.05–14.94 8.23–15.77 | 5.71 3.03–8.40 2.30–9.13 | 17.71 12.09–23.34 10.52–24.90 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.19 3.31–7.07 2.76–7.61 | 2.27 0.62–3.93 0.13–4.42 | 7.46 3.93–11.00 2.89–12.03 | 81% |
| Corners | 6.69 4.47–8.90 3.90–9.48 | 3.31 1.31–5.31 0.77–5.84 | 9.99 5.78–14.21 4.67–15.32 | 82% |
| Possession % | 61.41 54.62–68.20 52.95–69.87 | 40.25 33.47–47.04 31.80–48.71 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 554 487–621 469–639 | 379 313–446 295–463 | 933 799–1067 764–1102 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.46 74.43–82.49 73.14–83.78 | 73.86 69.54–78.19 68.23–79.50 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 12.38 9.55–15.22 8.79–15.98 | 11.56 8.62–14.50 7.87–15.25 | 23.94 18.16–29.73 16.66–31.23 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.87 1.69–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 31% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.21 0.77–3.64 0.38–4.03 | 3.77 2.21–5.33 1.79–5.75 | 5.98 2.98–8.97 2.17–9.78 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.