Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.920.992.91safe0.95–2.890.14–1.841.09–4.73safer0.70–3.140.00–2.070.61–5.21
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.443.329.76safe4.58–8.301.58–5.076.16–13.37safer4.09–8.791.11–5.535.20–14.32
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.739.2526.98safe13.81–21.665.68–12.8119.49–34.47safer12.72–22.754.73–13.7717.44–36.52
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.596.2518.84safe9.64–15.533.57–8.9313.21–24.46safer8.81–16.362.83–9.6711.65–26.03
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.162.827.98safe3.27–7.041.17–4.474.44–11.51safer2.73–7.580.68–4.973.41–12.55
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.543.379.91safe4.33–8.751.37–5.375.69–14.12safer3.75–9.330.83–5.904.59–15.23
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction55.7844.10safe48.99–62.5737.32–50.89safer47.32–64.2435.64–52.56
Passes
81%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction517409925safe449–584342–475792–1059safer431–602325–493756–1095
Pass accuracy %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction72.6569.44safe68.62–76.6865.12–73.77safer67.33–77.9763.81–75.08
Fouls
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4012.2925.69safe10.56–16.249.35–15.2419.91–31.47safer9.81–16.998.60–15.9918.41–32.98
Offsides
48%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.593.59safe0.85–3.170.49–2.681.34–5.85safer0.55–3.470.21–2.970.75–6.44
Yellow cards
29%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.434.24safe0.75–2.851.31–3.562.06–6.41safer0.49–3.121.01–3.851.50–6.97
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.304.296.59safe0.87–3.742.73–5.843.60–9.58safer0.48–4.132.30–6.272.79–10.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.95–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 0.99 0.14–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.44 4.58–8.30 4.09–8.79 | 3.32 1.58–5.07 1.11–5.53 | 9.76 6.16–13.37 5.20–14.32 | 80% |
| Total shots | 17.73 13.81–21.66 12.72–22.75 | 9.25 5.68–12.81 4.73–13.77 | 26.98 19.49–34.47 17.44–36.52 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 12.59 9.64–15.53 8.81–16.36 | 6.25 3.57–8.93 2.83–9.67 | 18.84 13.21–24.46 11.65–26.03 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.16 3.27–7.04 2.73–7.58 | 2.82 1.17–4.47 0.68–4.97 | 7.98 4.44–11.51 3.41–12.55 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.54 4.33–8.75 3.75–9.33 | 3.37 1.37–5.37 0.83–5.90 | 9.91 5.69–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 80% |
| Possession % | 55.78 48.99–62.57 47.32–64.24 | 44.10 37.32–50.89 35.64–52.56 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 517 449–584 431–602 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 925 792–1059 756–1095 | 81% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.65 68.62–76.68 67.33–77.97 | 69.44 65.12–73.77 63.81–75.08 | — | 64% 32% |
| Fouls | 13.40 10.56–16.24 9.81–16.99 | 12.29 9.35–15.24 8.60–15.99 | 25.69 19.91–31.47 18.41–32.98 | 55% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 1.59 0.49–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 3.59 1.34–5.85 0.75–6.44 | 48% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 2.43 1.31–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.24 2.06–6.41 1.50–6.97 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.87–3.74 0.48–4.13 | 4.29 2.73–5.84 2.30–6.27 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.79–10.40 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+