UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.132.73safe0.63–2.570.27–1.980.90–4.55safer0.38–2.820.05–2.210.42–5.03
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.734.059.78safe3.87–7.592.31–5.806.18–13.39safer3.38–8.081.85–6.265.22–14.34
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2511.6627.91safe12.32–20.178.10–15.2220.42–35.40safer11.23–21.277.14–16.1818.37–37.45
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.957.2718.22safe8.01–13.894.58–9.9512.59–23.84safer7.18–14.723.85–10.6811.03–25.41
Blocked shots
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.597.77safe2.29–6.061.94–5.244.23–11.30safer1.75–6.601.44–5.743.20–12.34
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.264.1710.43safe4.04–8.472.17–6.176.22–14.64safer3.47–9.041.64–6.715.11–15.75
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.3648.64safe44.57–58.1541.86–55.43safer42.90–59.8240.19–57.10
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction488426914safe421–556360–493781–1048safer403–574342–510745–1084
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction63.9767.91safe59.94–68.0063.59–72.24safer58.65–69.3062.28–73.55
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6111.3021.91safe7.77–13.458.36–14.2516.13–27.69safer7.02–14.207.61–14.9914.62–29.20
Offsides
49%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.393.28safe0.73–3.050.30–2.481.03–5.54safer0.43–3.360.01–2.770.44–6.13
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.243.96safe0.67–2.771.11–3.371.79–6.14safer0.41–3.040.82–3.661.23–6.70
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.140.21safe0.00–0.230.00–0.330.00–0.56safer0.00–0.380.00–0.460.00–0.84
GK saves
27%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.896.70safe1.37–4.242.34–5.453.71–9.69safer0.98–4.631.91–5.872.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.73 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.73 3.87–7.59 3.38–8.08 | 4.05 2.31–5.80 1.85–6.26 | 9.78 6.18–13.39 5.22–14.34 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.25 12.32–20.17 11.23–21.27 | 11.66 8.10–15.22 7.14–16.18 | 27.91 20.42–35.40 18.37–37.45 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.95 8.01–13.89 7.18–14.72 | 7.27 4.58–9.95 3.85–10.68 | 18.22 12.59–23.84 11.03–25.41 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.29–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 3.59 1.94–5.24 1.44–5.74 | 7.77 4.23–11.30 3.20–12.34 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Corners | 6.26 4.04–8.47 3.47–9.04 | 4.17 2.17–6.17 1.64–6.71 | 10.43 6.22–14.64 5.11–15.75 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 51.36 44.57–58.15 42.90–59.82 | 48.64 41.86–55.43 40.19–57.10 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 488 421–556 403–574 | 426 360–493 342–510 | 914 781–1048 745–1084 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.97 59.94–68.00 58.65–69.30 | 67.91 63.59–72.24 62.28–73.55 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.77–13.45 7.02–14.20 | 11.30 8.36–14.25 7.61–14.99 | 21.91 16.13–27.69 14.62–29.20 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.36 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 3.28 1.03–5.54 0.44–6.13 | 49% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 3.96 1.79–6.14 1.23–6.70 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.89 2.34–5.45 1.91–5.87 | 6.70 3.71–9.69 2.90–10.51 | 27% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.