UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 3·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.060.872.93safe1.09–3.030.02–1.731.11–4.75safer0.84–3.280.00–1.950.63–5.23
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.163.259.41safe4.30–8.021.51–4.995.81–13.02safer3.81–8.511.04–5.464.85–13.97
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.949.6426.58safe13.02–20.876.08–13.2019.10–34.07safer11.93–21.965.12–14.1617.05–36.12
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.635.9317.56safe8.69–14.583.24–8.6111.94–23.18safer7.86–15.412.51–9.3410.37–24.75
Blocked shots
61%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.383.107.48safe2.50–6.261.44–4.753.94–11.01safer1.96–6.810.95–5.242.91–12.05
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.423.6510.06safe4.20–8.631.65–5.655.85–14.28safer3.63–9.201.11–6.184.74–15.38
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.4450.27safe43.65–57.2343.49–57.06safer41.98–58.9041.82–58.73
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction472474946safe405–539408–541812–1080safer386–557390–558777–1115
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction69.3073.39safe65.27–73.3369.06–77.71safer63.98–74.6267.75–79.02
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5411.2722.80safe8.70–14.378.32–14.2117.02–28.58safer7.94–15.137.57–14.9615.51–30.09
Offsides
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.393.45safe0.90–3.220.29–2.481.19–5.70safer0.60–3.520.00–2.770.60–6.29
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.983.47safe0.44–2.540.86–3.111.29–5.65safer0.17–2.800.56–3.400.74–6.21
Red cards
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.160.22safe0.00–0.220.00–0.350.00–0.56safer0.00–0.370.00–0.480.00–0.85
GK saves
18%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.304.016.31safe0.86–3.732.45–5.573.32–9.30safer0.47–4.122.03–5.992.50–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.06 1.09–3.03 0.84–3.28 | 0.87 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.95 | 2.93 1.11–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.16 4.30–8.02 3.81–8.51 | 3.25 1.51–4.99 1.04–5.46 | 9.41 5.81–13.02 4.85–13.97 | 79% |
| Total shots | 16.94 13.02–20.87 11.93–21.96 | 9.64 6.08–13.20 5.12–14.16 | 26.58 19.10–34.07 17.05–36.12 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.63 8.69–14.58 7.86–15.41 | 5.93 3.24–8.61 2.51–9.34 | 17.56 11.94–23.18 10.37–24.75 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.38 2.50–6.26 1.96–6.81 | 3.10 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 7.48 3.94–11.01 2.91–12.05 | 61% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 6.42 4.20–8.63 3.63–9.20 | 3.65 1.65–5.65 1.11–6.18 | 10.06 5.85–14.28 4.74–15.38 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 50.44 43.65–57.23 41.98–58.90 | 50.27 43.49–57.06 41.82–58.73 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 472 405–539 386–557 | 474 408–541 390–558 | 946 812–1080 777–1115 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.30 65.27–73.33 63.98–74.62 | 73.39 69.06–77.71 67.75–79.02 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 11.54 8.70–14.37 7.94–15.13 | 11.27 8.32–14.21 7.57–14.96 | 22.80 17.02–28.58 15.51–30.09 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.06 0.90–3.22 0.60–3.52 | 1.39 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.77 | 3.45 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.17–2.80 | 1.98 0.86–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.47 1.29–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 4.01 2.45–5.57 2.03–5.99 | 6.31 3.32–9.30 2.50–10.11 | 18% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.