UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
23%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.852.94safe0.12–2.060.99–2.701.12–4.76safer0.00–2.310.76–2.930.64–5.24
Shots on target
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.155.059.20safe2.28–6.013.31–6.795.59–12.80safer1.79–6.502.84–7.264.64–13.76
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7514.1725.92safe7.82–15.6710.61–17.7418.43–33.41safer6.73–16.769.65–18.7016.38–35.46
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction6.889.3716.25safe3.94–9.836.69–12.0510.63–21.88safer3.11–10.655.95–12.799.06–23.44
Blocked shots
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.023.806.82safe1.14–4.902.14–5.453.28–10.35safer0.60–5.451.65–5.942.25–11.39
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.545.069.60safe2.33–6.753.06–7.065.39–13.82safer1.75–7.332.53–7.594.28–14.92
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.3758.02safe35.58–49.1651.24–64.81safer33.91–50.8349.57–66.48
Passes
13%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction428560988safe361–495494–627854–1122safer342–513476–644819–1157
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction74.8185.82safe70.78–78.8481.50–90.15safer69.49–80.1480.19–91.46
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1710.6122.78safe9.33–15.017.67–13.5617.00–28.57safer8.58–15.776.92–14.3115.50–30.07
Offsides
62%
18%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.511.403.91safe1.35–3.670.31–2.501.66–6.17safer1.05–3.970.02–2.781.07–6.76
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.974.01safe0.99–3.090.84–3.101.83–6.19safer0.73–3.360.55–3.391.27–6.75
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.090.24safe0.00–0.310.00–0.280.00–0.58safer0.00–0.460.00–0.410.00–0.87
GK saves
42%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.982.985.96safe1.55–4.421.42–4.532.97–8.95safer1.16–4.811.00–4.962.16–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.85 0.99–2.70 0.76–2.93 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Shots on target | 4.15 2.28–6.01 1.79–6.50 | 5.05 3.31–6.79 2.84–7.26 | 9.20 5.59–12.80 4.64–13.76 | 32% 55% |
| Total shots | 11.75 7.82–15.67 6.73–16.76 | 14.17 10.61–17.74 9.65–18.70 | 25.92 18.43–33.41 16.38–35.46 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 6.88 3.94–9.83 3.11–10.65 | 9.37 6.69–12.05 5.95–12.79 | 16.25 10.63–21.88 9.06–23.44 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.02 1.14–4.90 0.60–5.45 | 3.80 2.14–5.45 1.65–5.94 | 6.82 3.28–10.35 2.25–11.39 | 31% 15% 54% |
| Corners | 4.54 2.33–6.75 1.75–7.33 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.59 | 9.60 5.39–13.82 4.28–14.92 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 42.37 35.58–49.16 33.91–50.83 | 58.02 51.24–64.81 49.57–66.48 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 428 361–495 342–513 | 560 494–627 476–644 | 988 854–1122 819–1157 | 13% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.81 70.78–78.84 69.49–80.14 | 85.82 81.50–90.15 80.19–91.46 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.17 9.33–15.01 8.58–15.77 | 10.61 7.67–13.56 6.92–14.31 | 22.78 17.00–28.57 15.50–30.07 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.51 1.35–3.67 1.05–3.97 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.78 | 3.91 1.66–6.17 1.07–6.76 | 62% 18% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.73–3.36 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 4.01 1.83–6.19 1.27–6.75 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.55–4.42 1.16–4.81 | 2.98 1.42–4.53 1.00–4.96 | 5.96 2.97–8.95 2.16–9.76 | 42% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.