UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.470.763.23safe1.50–3.440.00–1.611.40–5.05safer1.25–3.690.00–1.840.92–5.53
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.882.909.78safe5.02–8.741.16–4.646.17–13.38safer4.53–9.230.69–5.115.22–14.34
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.639.0526.68safe13.71–21.565.49–12.6119.20–34.17safer12.62–22.654.53–13.5717.15–36.22
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.155.7316.88safe8.21–14.103.05–8.4111.26–22.50safer7.38–14.922.31–9.159.69–24.07
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.542.306.84safe2.66–6.420.65–3.963.31–10.38safer2.12–6.970.16–4.452.27–11.41
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.353.6110.97safe5.14–9.571.61–5.616.75–15.18safer4.57–10.141.08–6.155.65–16.29
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.7836.71safe56.99–70.5729.92–43.49safer55.32–72.2428.25–45.16
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction591356947safe524–658290–423814–1081safer506–676272–440778–1117
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction77.7672.14safe73.73–81.7967.82–76.46safer72.44–83.0866.51–77.77
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5411.1422.68safe8.70–14.388.20–14.0916.90–28.46safer7.95–15.137.45–14.8315.39–29.97
Offsides
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.393.45safe0.89–3.210.30–2.491.19–5.70safer0.59–3.510.01–2.780.60–6.29
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.873.27safe0.35–2.450.74–3.001.10–5.45safer0.09–2.720.45–3.290.54–6.01
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.054.046.09safe0.61–3.492.49–5.603.10–9.08safer0.23–3.872.06–6.022.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.47 1.50–3.44 1.25–3.69 | 0.76 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 3.23 1.40–5.05 0.92–5.53 | 75% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.88 5.02–8.74 4.53–9.23 | 2.90 1.16–4.64 0.69–5.11 | 9.78 6.17–13.38 5.22–14.34 | 87% |
| Total shots | 17.63 13.71–21.56 12.62–22.65 | 9.05 5.49–12.61 4.53–13.57 | 26.68 19.20–34.17 17.15–36.22 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.15 8.21–14.10 7.38–14.92 | 5.73 3.05–8.41 2.31–9.15 | 16.88 11.26–22.50 9.69–24.07 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.54 2.66–6.42 2.12–6.97 | 2.30 0.65–3.96 0.16–4.45 | 6.84 3.31–10.38 2.27–11.41 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 7.35 5.14–9.57 4.57–10.14 | 3.61 1.61–5.61 1.08–6.15 | 10.97 6.75–15.18 5.65–16.29 | 84% |
| Possession % | 63.78 56.99–70.57 55.32–72.24 | 36.71 29.92–43.49 28.25–45.16 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 591 524–658 506–676 | 356 290–423 272–440 | 947 814–1081 778–1117 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.76 73.73–81.79 72.44–83.08 | 72.14 67.82–76.46 66.51–77.77 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 11.54 8.70–14.38 7.95–15.13 | 11.14 8.20–14.09 7.45–14.83 | 22.68 16.90–28.46 15.39–29.97 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.59–3.51 | 1.39 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.78 | 3.45 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.09–2.72 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.27 1.10–5.45 0.54–6.01 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.05 0.61–3.49 0.23–3.87 | 4.04 2.49–5.60 2.06–6.02 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.29–9.90 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.