UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.132.093.23safe0.16–2.101.24–2.951.40–5.05safer0.00–2.351.01–3.180.92–5.53
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.696.3610.05safe1.83–5.564.61–8.106.44–13.65safer1.34–6.044.15–8.565.49–14.61
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6617.0827.74safe6.74–14.5813.52–20.6420.25–35.23safer5.64–15.6812.56–21.6018.20–37.28
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction7.5311.0418.57safe4.59–10.478.36–13.7212.95–24.19safer3.76–11.307.62–14.4611.38–25.76
Blocked shots
22%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.994.577.56safe1.11–4.872.92–6.224.02–11.09safer0.56–5.422.42–6.712.99–12.13
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.745.7710.51safe2.52–6.953.77–7.776.29–14.72safer1.95–7.523.24–8.305.19–15.83
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.5956.45safe37.80–51.3849.66–63.23safer36.13–53.0547.99–64.90
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction397521919safe330–465455–588785–1052safer312–483437–605749–1088
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction77.8581.63safe73.83–81.8877.31–85.96safer72.53–83.1876.00–87.27
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6311.8823.51safe8.79–14.478.94–14.8317.73–29.29safer8.03–15.228.19–15.5716.22–30.80
Offsides
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.963.73safe0.61–2.930.86–3.051.48–5.98safer0.31–3.230.58–3.340.89–6.57
Yellow cards
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.633.22safe0.54–2.640.50–2.761.04–5.40safer0.28–2.910.21–3.050.49–5.96
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.492.496.99safe3.06–5.930.94–4.053.99–9.98safer2.67–6.320.51–4.473.18–10.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.16–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 2.09 1.24–2.95 1.01–3.18 | 3.23 1.40–5.05 0.92–5.53 | 20% 21% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.69 1.83–5.56 1.34–6.04 | 6.36 4.61–8.10 4.15–8.56 | 10.05 6.44–13.65 5.49–14.61 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 10.66 6.74–14.58 5.64–15.68 | 17.08 13.52–20.64 12.56–21.60 | 27.74 20.25–35.23 18.20–37.28 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 7.53 4.59–10.47 3.76–11.30 | 11.04 8.36–13.72 7.62–14.46 | 18.57 12.95–24.19 11.38–25.76 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 2.99 1.11–4.87 0.56–5.42 | 4.57 2.92–6.22 2.42–6.71 | 7.56 4.02–11.09 2.99–12.13 | 22% 65% |
| Corners | 4.74 2.52–6.95 1.95–7.52 | 5.77 3.77–7.77 3.24–8.30 | 10.51 6.29–14.72 5.19–15.83 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 44.59 37.80–51.38 36.13–53.05 | 56.45 49.66–63.23 47.99–64.90 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 397 330–465 312–483 | 521 455–588 437–605 | 919 785–1052 749–1088 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.85 73.83–81.88 72.53–83.18 | 81.63 77.31–85.96 76.00–87.27 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.63 8.79–14.47 8.03–15.22 | 11.88 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.57 | 23.51 17.73–29.29 16.22–30.80 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.96 0.86–3.05 0.58–3.34 | 3.73 1.48–5.98 0.89–6.57 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 1.63 0.50–2.76 0.21–3.05 | 3.22 1.04–5.40 0.49–5.96 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.49 3.06–5.93 2.67–6.32 | 2.49 0.94–4.05 0.51–4.47 | 6.99 3.99–9.98 3.18–10.79 | 72% 17% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.