UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.172.89safe0.75–2.690.31–2.021.07–4.71safer0.50–2.940.09–2.250.59–5.19
Shots on target
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.774.479.23safe2.90–6.632.73–6.215.63–12.84safer2.41–7.122.26–6.684.67–13.79
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9412.4225.36safe9.01–16.868.86–15.9917.88–32.85safer7.92–17.967.90–16.9515.83–34.90
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction8.527.4315.95safe5.57–11.464.75–10.1110.32–21.57safer4.75–12.294.01–10.858.76–23.14
Blocked shots
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.393.456.84safe1.51–5.271.80–5.113.31–10.38safer0.96–5.821.31–5.602.27–11.41
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.784.7910.56safe3.56–7.992.79–6.796.35–14.78safer2.99–8.572.25–7.325.24–15.88
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction55.8946.70safe49.10–62.6839.92–53.49safer47.43–64.3538.25–55.16
Passes
70%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction474409883safe406–541343–476749–1016safer388–559325–493713–1052
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction81.5378.48safe77.50–85.5674.15–82.80safer76.21–86.8672.84–84.11
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9113.0824.99safe9.07–14.7510.13–16.0219.20–30.77safer8.32–15.519.38–16.7717.70–32.27
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.743.57safe0.67–2.990.65–2.831.32–5.82safer0.37–3.290.36–3.120.73–6.41
Yellow cards
33%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.043.78safe0.69–2.790.91–3.171.60–5.96safer0.42–3.050.62–3.461.04–6.51
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.862.925.78safe1.43–4.301.36–4.472.79–8.77safer1.04–4.690.94–4.901.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.75–2.69 0.50–2.94 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.09–2.25 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.77 2.90–6.63 2.41–7.12 | 4.47 2.73–6.21 2.26–6.68 | 9.23 5.63–12.84 4.67–13.79 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 12.94 9.01–16.86 7.92–17.96 | 12.42 8.86–15.99 7.90–16.95 | 25.36 17.88–32.85 15.83–34.90 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.52 5.57–11.46 4.75–12.29 | 7.43 4.75–10.11 4.01–10.85 | 15.95 10.32–21.57 8.76–23.14 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.39 1.51–5.27 0.96–5.82 | 3.45 1.80–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 6.84 3.31–10.38 2.27–11.41 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 5.78 3.56–7.99 2.99–8.57 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.25–7.32 | 10.56 6.35–14.78 5.24–15.88 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 55.89 49.10–62.68 47.43–64.35 | 46.70 39.92–53.49 38.25–55.16 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 474 406–541 388–559 | 409 343–476 325–493 | 883 749–1016 713–1052 | 70% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.53 77.50–85.56 76.21–86.86 | 78.48 74.15–82.80 72.84–84.11 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.91 9.07–14.75 8.32–15.51 | 13.08 10.13–16.02 9.38–16.77 | 24.99 19.20–30.77 17.70–32.27 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.74 0.65–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.57 1.32–5.82 0.73–6.41 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.04–6.51 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 2.92 1.36–4.47 0.94–4.90 | 5.78 2.79–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.