UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.252.76safe0.55–2.480.39–2.100.94–4.58safer0.30–2.740.16–2.330.46–5.06
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.393.909.29safe3.53–7.262.15–5.645.69–12.90safer3.04–7.751.69–6.104.73–13.85
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9911.5227.51safe12.07–19.927.95–15.0820.02–35.00safer10.98–21.016.99–16.0417.97–37.05
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.797.0916.88safe6.85–12.744.41–9.7711.26–22.51safer6.02–13.563.67–10.519.69–24.07
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.477.63safe2.28–6.041.82–5.124.10–11.17safer1.74–6.591.32–5.613.06–12.20
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.804.009.79safe3.58–8.012.00–6.005.58–14.01safer3.01–8.581.46–6.534.47–15.12
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction48.7452.11safe41.95–55.5345.32–58.89safer40.28–57.2043.65–60.56
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction422440862safe355–489374–507729–996safer336–507356–524693–1032
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction67.0370.28safe63.00–71.0665.96–74.61safer61.71–72.3564.65–75.92
Fouls
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7510.6525.41safe11.91–17.597.71–13.6019.62–31.19safer11.16–18.356.96–14.3518.12–32.69
Offsides
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.884.02safe0.98–3.300.79–2.971.77–6.28safer0.68–3.600.50–3.261.18–6.86
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.184.33safe1.11–3.211.05–3.312.16–6.51safer0.84–3.470.76–3.601.60–7.07
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.523.696.21safe1.09–3.962.13–5.253.22–9.21safer0.70–4.351.71–5.672.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.48 0.30–2.74 | 1.25 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.39 3.53–7.26 3.04–7.75 | 3.90 2.15–5.64 1.69–6.10 | 9.29 5.69–12.90 4.73–13.85 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.99 12.07–19.92 10.98–21.01 | 11.52 7.95–15.08 6.99–16.04 | 27.51 20.02–35.00 17.97–37.05 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.79 6.85–12.74 6.02–13.56 | 7.09 4.41–9.77 3.67–10.51 | 16.88 11.26–22.51 9.69–24.07 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.04 1.74–6.59 | 3.47 1.82–5.12 1.32–5.61 | 7.63 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.20 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.80 3.58–8.01 3.01–8.58 | 4.00 2.00–6.00 1.46–6.53 | 9.79 5.58–14.01 4.47–15.12 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 48.74 41.95–55.53 40.28–57.20 | 52.11 45.32–58.89 43.65–60.56 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 422 355–489 336–507 | 440 374–507 356–524 | 862 729–996 693–1032 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.03 63.00–71.06 61.71–72.35 | 70.28 65.96–74.61 64.65–75.92 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 14.75 11.91–17.59 11.16–18.35 | 10.65 7.71–13.60 6.96–14.35 | 25.41 19.62–31.19 18.12–32.69 | 76% 18% |
| Offsides | 2.14 0.98–3.30 0.68–3.60 | 1.88 0.79–2.97 0.50–3.26 | 4.02 1.77–6.28 1.18–6.86 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.84–3.47 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 4.33 2.16–6.51 1.60–7.07 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 3.69 2.13–5.25 1.71–5.67 | 6.21 3.22–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.