UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
26%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.510.922.44safe0.55–2.480.07–1.780.61–4.26safer0.29–2.730.00–2.010.14–4.74
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.003.248.23safe3.13–6.861.50–4.984.63–11.84safer2.64–7.351.03–5.453.67–12.79
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4510.0025.45safe11.52–19.376.44–13.5717.97–32.94safer10.43–20.475.48–14.5315.91–34.99
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.736.2016.93safe7.79–13.683.51–8.8811.31–22.55safer6.96–14.502.78–9.619.74–24.12
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.092.826.91safe2.21–5.981.17–4.473.38–10.45safer1.67–6.520.68–4.972.34–11.49
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.843.759.58safe3.63–8.051.75–5.755.37–13.80safer3.05–8.631.21–6.284.26–14.91
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction52.3148.68safe45.52–59.1041.90–55.47safer43.85–60.7740.23–57.14
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction456424880safe389–523357–490746–1014safer371–542340–508711–1049
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction73.4976.42safe69.46–77.5272.10–80.75safer68.17–78.8170.79–82.06
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2111.9224.13safe9.37–15.048.97–14.8618.34–29.91safer8.61–15.808.23–15.6116.84–31.41
Offsides
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.152.69safe0.38–2.700.06–2.250.44–4.94safer0.08–3.000.00–2.540.00–5.53
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.753.44safe0.65–2.750.62–2.881.27–5.62safer0.38–3.010.33–3.170.71–6.18
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.233.355.58safe0.79–3.671.79–4.912.59–8.57safer0.41–4.051.37–5.331.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.55–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.44 0.61–4.26 0.14–4.74 | 51% 26% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.00 3.13–6.86 2.64–7.35 | 3.24 1.50–4.98 1.03–5.45 | 8.23 4.63–11.84 3.67–12.79 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.45 11.52–19.37 10.43–20.47 | 10.00 6.44–13.57 5.48–14.53 | 25.45 17.97–32.94 15.91–34.99 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.73 7.79–13.68 6.96–14.50 | 6.20 3.51–8.88 2.78–9.61 | 16.93 11.31–22.55 9.74–24.12 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.09 2.21–5.98 1.67–6.52 | 2.82 1.17–4.47 0.68–4.97 | 6.91 3.38–10.45 2.34–11.49 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.63–8.05 3.05–8.63 | 3.75 1.75–5.75 1.21–6.28 | 9.58 5.37–13.80 4.26–14.91 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 52.31 45.52–59.10 43.85–60.77 | 48.68 41.90–55.47 40.23–57.14 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 456 389–523 371–542 | 424 357–490 340–508 | 880 746–1014 711–1049 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.49 69.46–77.52 68.17–78.81 | 76.42 72.10–80.75 70.79–82.06 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.37–15.04 8.61–15.80 | 11.92 8.97–14.86 8.23–15.61 | 24.13 18.34–29.91 16.84–31.41 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.15 0.06–2.25 0.00–2.54 | 2.69 0.44–4.94 0.00–5.53 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.44 1.27–5.62 0.71–6.18 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.23 0.79–3.67 0.41–4.05 | 3.35 1.79–4.91 1.37–5.33 | 5.58 2.59–8.57 1.78–9.39 | 24% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+