UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.923.05safe0.17–2.111.06–2.771.23–4.88safer0.00–2.360.83–3.000.75–5.36
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.695.729.40safe1.82–5.553.97–7.465.80–13.01safer1.33–6.043.51–7.924.84–13.96
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0717.4928.55safe7.14–14.9913.93–21.0521.07–36.04safer6.05–16.0812.97–22.0119.02–38.09
Shots in box
16%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3111.1218.43safe4.37–10.258.44–13.8012.81–24.06safer3.54–11.087.70–14.5411.24–25.62
Blocked shots
22%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.004.577.58safe1.12–4.892.92–6.234.04–11.11safer0.58–5.432.43–6.723.01–12.15
Corners
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.075.9810.06safe1.86–6.293.98–7.985.84–14.27safer1.29–6.863.45–8.524.74–15.38
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.8257.78safe36.03–49.6150.99–64.56safer34.36–51.2849.32–66.24
Passes
14%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction361488850safe294–429422–555716–983safer276–447404–572680–1019
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction64.6076.80safe60.57–68.6372.47–81.12safer59.28–69.9271.16–82.43
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0714.1226.19safe9.23–14.9011.18–17.0720.41–31.97safer8.47–15.6610.43–17.8218.90–33.48
Offsides
57%
19%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.411.533.94safe1.25–3.570.44–2.621.69–6.20safer0.95–3.870.15–2.911.10–6.79
Yellow cards
38%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.084.07safe0.95–3.050.95–3.211.90–6.25safer0.68–3.310.66–3.501.34–6.81
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
62%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.832.536.36safe2.39–5.260.97–4.093.36–9.35safer2.00–5.650.55–4.512.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.92 1.06–2.77 0.83–3.00 | 3.05 1.23–4.88 0.75–5.36 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.69 1.82–5.55 1.33–6.04 | 5.72 3.97–7.46 3.51–7.92 | 9.40 5.80–13.01 4.84–13.96 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 11.07 7.14–14.99 6.05–16.08 | 17.49 13.93–21.05 12.97–22.01 | 28.55 21.07–36.04 19.02–38.09 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 7.31 4.37–10.25 3.54–11.08 | 11.12 8.44–13.80 7.70–14.54 | 18.43 12.81–24.06 11.24–25.62 | 16% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.00 1.12–4.89 0.58–5.43 | 4.57 2.92–6.23 2.43–6.72 | 7.58 4.04–11.11 3.01–12.15 | 22% 65% |
| Corners | 4.07 1.86–6.29 1.29–6.86 | 5.98 3.98–7.98 3.45–8.52 | 10.06 5.84–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 22% 67% |
| Possession % | 42.82 36.03–49.61 34.36–51.28 | 57.78 50.99–64.56 49.32–66.24 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 361 294–429 276–447 | 488 422–555 404–572 | 850 716–983 680–1019 | 14% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.60 60.57–68.63 59.28–69.92 | 76.80 72.47–81.12 71.16–82.43 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 12.07 9.23–14.90 8.47–15.66 | 14.12 11.18–17.07 10.43–17.82 | 26.19 20.41–31.97 18.90–33.48 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.41 1.25–3.57 0.95–3.87 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 3.94 1.69–6.20 1.10–6.79 | 57% 19% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.68–3.31 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 4.07 1.90–6.25 1.34–6.81 | 38% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.83 2.39–5.26 2.00–5.65 | 2.53 0.97–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 6.36 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 62% 14% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+