Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.051.993.04safe0.08–2.021.14–2.851.22–4.86safer0.00–2.270.91–3.070.74–5.34
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.686.329.99safe1.81–5.544.58–8.066.39–13.60safer1.32–6.034.11–8.535.43–14.55
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2517.3229.57safe8.32–16.1713.76–20.8822.08–37.05safer7.23–17.2612.80–21.8420.03–39.10
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction7.5611.5219.08safe4.62–10.508.84–14.2113.46–24.71safer3.79–11.338.11–14.9411.89–26.27
Blocked shots
34%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.814.518.32safe1.93–5.702.86–6.164.79–11.86safer1.39–6.242.36–6.653.75–12.89
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.456.3110.77safe2.24–6.674.31–8.316.55–14.98safer1.67–7.243.78–8.855.45–16.09
Possession %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction41.5659.33safe34.77–48.3552.54–66.11safer33.10–50.0250.87–67.78
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction383555938safe316–450488–621804–1071safer298–468471–639768–1107
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction64.6277.35safe60.59–68.6573.02–81.67safer59.30–69.9471.71–82.98
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6013.2024.80safe8.76–14.4410.25–16.1419.02–30.58safer8.01–15.209.50–16.8917.51–32.09
Offsides
33%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.743.25safe0.35–2.670.65–2.841.00–5.50safer0.05–2.970.36–3.120.41–6.09
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.933.65safe0.67–2.770.80–3.061.47–5.83safer0.41–3.040.51–3.350.92–6.39
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.762.626.37safe2.32–5.201.06–4.173.38–9.37safer1.94–5.580.63–4.602.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 1.99 1.14–2.85 0.91–3.07 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 19% 21% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.68 1.81–5.54 1.32–6.03 | 6.32 4.58–8.06 4.11–8.53 | 9.99 6.39–13.60 5.43–14.55 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 12.25 8.32–16.17 7.23–17.26 | 17.32 13.76–20.88 12.80–21.84 | 29.57 22.08–37.05 20.03–39.10 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 7.56 4.62–10.50 3.79–11.33 | 11.52 8.84–14.21 8.11–14.94 | 19.08 13.46–24.71 11.89–26.27 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 3.81 1.93–5.70 1.39–6.24 | 4.51 2.86–6.16 2.36–6.65 | 8.32 4.79–11.86 3.75–12.89 | 34% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.45 2.24–6.67 1.67–7.24 | 6.31 4.31–8.31 3.78–8.85 | 10.77 6.55–14.98 5.45–16.09 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 41.56 34.77–48.35 33.10–50.02 | 59.33 52.54–66.11 50.87–67.78 | — | 13% 84% |
| Passes | 383 316–450 298–468 | 555 488–621 471–639 | 938 804–1071 768–1107 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.62 60.59–68.65 59.30–69.94 | 77.35 73.02–81.67 71.71–82.98 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 11.60 8.76–14.44 8.01–15.20 | 13.20 10.25–16.14 9.50–16.89 | 24.80 19.02–30.58 17.51–32.09 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.74 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.12 | 3.25 1.00–5.50 0.41–6.09 | 33% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.76 2.32–5.20 1.94–5.58 | 2.62 1.06–4.17 0.63–4.60 | 6.37 3.38–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 60% 15% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.