UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
26%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.462.58safe0.15–2.080.61–2.310.75–4.40safer0.00–2.340.38–2.540.27–4.88
Shots on target
32%
13%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.824.678.48safe1.96–5.682.92–6.414.88–12.09safer1.47–6.172.46–6.883.92–13.05
Total shots
28%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9714.5326.50safe8.05–15.9010.97–18.0919.01–33.99safer6.96–16.9910.01–19.0516.96–36.04
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.019.7017.71safe5.06–10.957.02–12.3812.08–23.33safer4.24–11.786.28–13.1210.52–24.90
Blocked shots
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.794.027.81safe1.91–5.672.37–5.674.27–11.34safer1.36–6.211.87–6.163.24–12.38
Corners
40%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.145.4810.62safe2.93–7.353.48–7.486.40–14.83safer2.35–7.932.95–8.015.30–15.94
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.0150.61safe42.22–55.8043.83–57.40safer40.55–57.4742.16–59.07
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction396401798safe329–464335–468664–932safer311–482318–485629–967
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction66.4970.20safe62.46–70.5265.88–74.53safer61.17–71.8164.57–75.84
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5113.0926.60safe10.68–16.3510.14–16.0320.82–32.38safer9.92–17.119.39–16.7819.31–33.89
Offsides
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.632.94safe0.15–2.470.54–2.720.68–5.19safer0.00–2.770.25–3.010.10–5.78
Yellow cards
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.142.334.47safe1.09–3.181.20–3.462.29–6.64safer0.82–3.450.91–3.751.73–7.20
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.102.825.91safe1.66–4.531.26–4.372.92–8.90safer1.27–4.920.83–4.802.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.08 0.00–2.34 | 1.46 0.61–2.31 0.38–2.54 | 2.58 0.75–4.40 0.27–4.88 | 29% 26% 45% |
| Shots on target | 3.82 1.96–5.68 1.47–6.17 | 4.67 2.92–6.41 2.46–6.88 | 8.48 4.88–12.09 3.92–13.05 | 32% 13% 55% |
| Total shots | 11.97 8.05–15.90 6.96–16.99 | 14.53 10.97–18.09 10.01–19.05 | 26.50 19.01–33.99 16.96–36.04 | 28% 66% |
| Shots in box | 8.01 5.06–10.95 4.24–11.78 | 9.70 7.02–12.38 6.28–13.12 | 17.71 12.08–23.33 10.52–24.90 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 4.02 2.37–5.67 1.87–6.16 | 7.81 4.27–11.34 3.24–12.38 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 5.14 2.93–7.35 2.35–7.93 | 5.48 3.48–7.48 2.95–8.01 | 10.62 6.40–14.83 5.30–15.94 | 40% 48% |
| Possession % | 49.01 42.22–55.80 40.55–57.47 | 50.61 43.83–57.40 42.16–59.07 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 396 329–464 311–482 | 401 335–468 318–485 | 798 664–932 629–967 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.49 62.46–70.52 61.17–71.81 | 70.20 65.88–74.53 64.57–75.84 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 13.51 10.68–16.35 9.92–17.11 | 13.09 10.14–16.03 9.39–16.78 | 26.60 20.82–32.38 19.31–33.89 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.31 0.15–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 1.63 0.54–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 2.94 0.68–5.19 0.10–5.78 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.18 0.82–3.45 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.47 2.29–6.64 1.73–7.20 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 2.82 1.26–4.37 0.83–4.80 | 5.91 2.92–8.90 2.11–9.72 | 46% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.