Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.482.74safe0.29–2.230.62–2.330.92–4.56safer0.04–2.480.39–2.560.44–5.04
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.314.769.07safe2.45–6.173.01–6.505.46–12.67safer1.96–6.662.55–6.964.51–13.63
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0912.7125.81safe9.17–17.029.15–16.2718.32–33.29safer8.08–18.118.19–17.2316.27–35.34
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction7.838.7016.53safe4.89–10.786.02–11.3810.91–22.16safer4.06–11.615.28–12.129.34–23.72
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.703.397.09safe1.82–5.581.73–5.043.55–10.62safer1.27–6.131.24–5.532.52–11.66
Corners
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.824.849.66safe2.61–7.042.84–6.845.45–13.88safer2.04–7.612.31–7.374.34–14.98
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction46.1754.57safe39.38–52.9647.79–61.36safer37.71–54.6346.11–63.03
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction442519960safe374–509452–585826–1094safer356–527435–603791–1130
Pass accuracy %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction69.9275.79safe65.89–73.9571.46–80.11safer64.59–75.2470.15–81.42
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4612.8925.36safe9.62–15.309.95–15.8419.57–31.14safer8.87–16.069.20–16.5918.07–32.64
Offsides
35%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.793.43safe0.47–2.790.70–2.891.17–5.68safer0.17–3.100.41–3.170.58–6.27
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.264.13safe0.81–2.911.13–3.391.95–6.30safer0.55–3.180.84–3.681.39–6.86
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.342.886.22safe1.90–4.781.33–4.443.23–9.21safer1.52–5.160.90–4.862.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.48 0.62–2.33 0.39–2.56 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 32% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.45–6.17 1.96–6.66 | 4.76 3.01–6.50 2.55–6.96 | 9.07 5.46–12.67 4.51–13.63 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.09 9.17–17.02 8.08–18.11 | 12.71 9.15–16.27 8.19–17.23 | 25.81 18.32–33.29 16.27–35.34 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 7.83 4.89–10.78 4.06–11.61 | 8.70 6.02–11.38 5.28–12.12 | 16.53 10.91–22.16 9.34–23.72 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.58 1.27–6.13 | 3.39 1.73–5.04 1.24–5.53 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 4.82 2.61–7.04 2.04–7.61 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.37 | 9.66 5.45–13.88 4.34–14.98 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 46.17 39.38–52.96 37.71–54.63 | 54.57 47.79–61.36 46.11–63.03 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 442 374–509 356–527 | 519 452–585 435–603 | 960 826–1094 791–1130 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.92 65.89–73.95 64.59–75.24 | 75.79 71.46–80.11 70.15–81.42 | — | 21% 76% |
| Fouls | 12.46 9.62–15.30 8.87–16.06 | 12.89 9.95–15.84 9.20–16.59 | 25.36 19.57–31.14 18.07–32.64 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.10 | 1.79 0.70–2.89 0.41–3.17 | 3.43 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.27 | 35% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 4.13 1.95–6.30 1.39–6.86 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.34 1.90–4.78 1.52–5.16 | 2.88 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.42–10.03 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.